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Tropical Storm Ivo
is located at 17.9 N, -114.5 W with maximum sustained winds...

East Pacific Hurricane & Tropical Storm Center

Tropical Depression Chantal is located at 37.1 N, -40.9 W with maximum sustained winds of 28 mph, gusting to 40 mph more >

Tropical Storm Ivo is located at 17.9 N, -114.5 W with maximum sustained winds of 57 mph, gusting to 69 mph more >

Ivo remains a tropical storm

Tropical Storm Ivo continue to track to the northwest with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph. Ivo will continue to track over very warm water. However, increasing northeasterly shear has caused the deep convection to become slightly displaced off to the southwest of the storm and the low-level center is fully exposed. This increased shear may inhibit Ivo from becoming a hurricane.

Regardless of strength, Ivo will track to the northwest, generally parallel to the southwest coast of Mexico and Baja California. Even though the center of Ivo is forecast to stay off the coast of Mexico, a surge of tropical moisture will produce rain and a few heavier thunderstorms near and along the coast of western Mexico and over parts of Baja California Sur. This can produce isolated flash flooding and higher terrain mudslides. Ivo will also generate rough and dangerous surf along the west and south coast of Baja California through the weekend, then Southern California early next week.

Ivo is expected to eventually move over colder water and into a more stable environment this weekend. These more hostile conditions will cause the tropical cyclone to gradually weaken through the weekend. Ivo is expected to degenerate into a non-tropical low pressure area well off the northern coast of Baja California. The storm will completely fall apart well southwest of San Diego during next week.

Also, an area of disturbed weather is located about 1,100 miles to the east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. There is a low chance that this area will consolidate into a tropical system later this weekend or early next week as it moves west into the central Pacific. No impacts to land are expected tat this time.

By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Adam Douty

2019 East Pacific Storms

Alvin Barbara Cosme Dalila Erick Flossie
Gil Henriette Ivo Juliette Kiko Lorena
Mario Narda Octave Priscilla Raymond Sonia
Tico Velma Wallis Xina York Zelda

East Pacific Basin Maps

National Hurricane Center Outlook

NHC E. Pacific Activity

ABPZ20 KNHC 230503

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Thu Aug 22 2019

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Ivo, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern
tip of the Baja California peninsula.

A surface trough located about 1100 miles east-southeast of the
Big Island of Hawaii continues to produce disorganized cloudiness
and showers. Although this disturbance is not showing any signs of
development at this time, environmental conditions could become
a little more conducive for some development in the central Pacific
well to the east of the Hawaiian Islands in a few days. The system
is forecast to move slowly northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Avila

Hurricane Center 2018

Tropical Weather Reports