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News / Weather Forecasts

Temperatures plunge in North Central states following drastic warmup

By Mary Gilbert, AccuWeather meteorologist

Updated Mar 31, 2021 4:26 PM EDT

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A wildfire, dubbed the Schroeder Fire, quickly grew near Keystone, South Dakota, amid high winds on March 29, forcing the closure of Mount Rushmore and evacuations of nearby neighborhoods.

The temperature roller coaster many across the north-central United States have been riding for the past few days shows no signs of pulling into the station any time soon. Following a dramatic warmup to start the week, a blast of cold air has sent temperatures tumbling.

A short-lived surge of warm air sent temperatures soaring across the northern Plains and Midwest Monday. High temperatures Monday topped out at levels generally 10-20 degrees Fahrenheit above what is typical for the end of March. Mercury readings in the 60s and 70s were the norm from the Dakotas to Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin, while 50s and 60s were common across states like Illinois, Michigan and Indiana.

While some residents were likely pleased to be able to bask in Monday's warmth, the combination of unseasonable heat and high winds led to an increased fire danger across the nation's midsection. The blazes have forced more than 400 residents to evacuate and prompted the closure of Mount Rushmore, The Associated Press reported.

One of the fires, dubbed the Schroeder Fire, had burned nearly 1,000 acres as of Monday and destroyed several structures, according to the Pennington County Sheriff's Office. No injuries have been reported. The fire was 50% contained as of Tuesday afternoon. On Tuesday, South Dakota's Gov. Kristi Noem declared a state of emergency, which is in effect until June 1, 2021, due to the severe drought and fire conditions.

Schroeder Fire tonight from Skyline Drive in Rapid City, SD pic.twitter.com/KWvBQmPArp

— Pennington County Fire (@PennCoFire) March 30, 2021

When Fargo, North Dakota, hit 77 degrees Monday, not only did it break the previous daily record high of 76 degrees set back in 1986, it also topped out at a whopping 33 degrees above average for the date. High temperatures in Iowa City, Iowa, and Madison, Wisconsin, each peaked at 16 degrees above normal Monday, with a mercury reading of 73 and 65 respectively.

Monday's warmth is now a distant memory, however, following a potent cold front that began to slice across the center of the country Monday night.

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By Tuesday afternoon, this front stretched from the Great Lakes to the southern Plains. A blast of cold Canadian air has followed in the wake of this front.

This temperature snapshot was taken during early Tuesday afternoon on March 30, 2021 and shows temperatures ranging from the upper teens over northern North Dakota to the lower 70s in southeastern Tennessee. (AccuWeather)

Temperatures on Tuesday struggled to reach the 30s and lower 40s in parts of the Dakotas, Minnesota and Wisconsin, while readings surged into the 60s and 70s over the Ohio and Tennessee valleys.

As the front pushes eastward Wednesday, colder air will remain entrenched from the Plains to the Midwest and will begin to expand across the Great Lakes. Temperatures for most locations across the center of the country will run at least 5-10 degrees below normal by Wednesday.

In addition to the blast of colder air, winds will begin to increase and gusty conditions will be widespread from the Plains to the Midwest and Great Lakes through Wednesday.

Temperatures will already be running below normal into the middle of the week, but the addition of cold, gusty winds will make it feel even colder, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Renee Duff.

"AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures can plunge into the teens in Minneapolis and 20s in Chicago as people head out the door Wednesday morning," Duff said.

A significant dip in the jet stream over the eastern half of the U.S. is forecast to persist through the late week, keeping cold air locked in place. Conversely, a bulge in the jet stream over the western half of the U.S. will allow unseasonable warmth to creep back north. Relief from colder air may come as early as Thursday for some in the North Central states, while others may have to wait until the weekend for their warmup.

"Those who are eager for spring warmth to return will be delighted by the weather toward the end of the week and heading into Easter weekend," Duff said.

"Afternoon temperatures are forecast to rebound to the 60s and 70s, and some records may be in jeopardy across the northern Plains," Duff added.

The warm conditions forecast for this Easter over the Upper Midwest will be a huge contrast to cold and snowy conditions that gripped the region last year on Easter Sunday. A late-season snowstorm and cold snap had people in the region wishing others a “Merry Easter” on April 12, 2020.

The warm weather pattern forecast for this Easter may be slow to break down next week. Even though cooler air is forecast to push across parts of the Plains, it may take the better part of the week before pushing through the Midwest.

Related:

No rest for the weary: Downpours, gusty storms to hinder waterlogged South
Summer-like heat to sizzle across Southwest
AccuWeather School: Anniversary of Niagara Falls running dry
Daily coronavirus briefing: US state launches country’s first ‘vaccine passport’
Mount Rushmore closed, hundreds of homes evacuated amid wind-driven wildfires

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier, Spectrum, FuboTV, Philo, and Verizon Fios.

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