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More flooding likely in Ida-ravaged Northeast this week

By Courtney Travis, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Updated Sep 8, 2021 5:25 AM EDT

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Joe English was on his way home from the U.S. Open in Flushing, Queens, when the skies began to open up on Sept. 1. He describes the intense trip back to his home in Brooklyn as the city flooded with rain.

Residents across the Northeast still recovering from the disastrous impacts caused by Tropical Rainstorm Ida last week should be on alert for showers and thunderstorms that could trigger additional flooding this week.

After Ida produced historic and deadly flooding, as well as severe weather, across the Northeast last week, rather benign conditions followed in the area for several days. While some locations received a brief period of rain over the weekend and at the start of this week, generally dry conditions will continue to follow Ida through Tuesday night.

At least 50 deaths were blamed on the former hurricane from Connecticut to Virginia, according to The Associated Press, as it unleashed torrential rainfall that inundated basement apartments in New York City, caused homes to collapse in New Jersey and put a major highway underwater in Philadelphia.

An end to the rather uneventful stretch of weather is coming for the middle of the week, AccuWeather meteorologists warn. The same cold front that produced severe weather across the Great Lakes on Tuesday night will shift into the Northeast on Wednesday and deliver rounds of stormy weather.

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Showers will first arrive in Ohio, northwestern Pennsylvania and western New York in the morning hours of Wednesday. Throughout the day, thunderstorms could develop as the front pushes across the Northeast.

"For the first time since Ida's catastrophic flooding, parts of the Northeast will have the potential for more downpours and gusty winds," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Dean Devore.

Widespread rainfall amounts near half an inch are forecast across the region, while more localized amounts from 1 to 2 inches are expected, especially in any thunderstorms. The heaviest rainfall is likely as the front moves through the interior Northeast and I-95 corridor midday Wednesday through the evening hours.

While an inch of rain is not an excessive amount on a typical late-summer or early fall day, the recent heavy rain across the Northeast will make many areas more susceptible to flooding. Since Aug. 1, New York City has recorded more than 300 percent of the city's normal rainfall. Other cities such as Boston and Washington, D.C., have had more than 200 percent of their normal rainfall.

Totals in some other areas went up significantly when Ida pushed through the region last week. In the Philadelphia suburbs through portions of New Jersey, the nearly 10 inches of rain that fell last week will make it possible for some areas to flood on Wednesday, even if less than an inch of rain falls over three hours time.

Residents should be vigilant in heeding any warnings that are issued for their area. Motorists should be prepared for slowed travel, due to downpours reducing visibility and causing ponding on roadways.

Widespread severe weather is not expected as thunderstorms develop across the northeastern U.S. and southern Quebec later on Wednesday, but there could be some stronger wind gusts. Even a wind gust of 30 mph could have the potential to knock over a weakened tree, especially given the saturated soil in the region following a very wet last month.

"Along with the likelihood of torrential downpours and locally gusty winds, there is also the risk of a few isolated tornadoes, mainly from the Chesapeake Bay northward through eastern New York state to the western part of New England from Wednesday afternoon to Wednesday evening," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said.

Once it pushes off the New England coast later on Thursday, this front will also be responsible for steering Hurricane Larry away from the United States, but toward Atlantic Canada. Even without Larry making landfall, however, the powerful hurricane will be able to bring rough seas and strong rip currents to the mid-Atlantic and New England beaches during the second half of the week.

"People at the beaches are urged to obey restrictions that authorities have in place. With the number of lifeguards dwindling at most beaches after the Labor Day weekend, the level of danger will increase for swimmers with Hurricane Larry at sea," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.

Behind the stormy weather, a refreshing surge of cooler air will follow for the eastern U.S., allowing temperatures across the Great Lakes and much of the Northeast to drop as much as 5 degrees below normal for early September. Dew points will also drop, which will create less humid conditions across the region.

Near-normal temperatures are likely to persist for parts of the I-95 corridor from New York City up through New England and coastal locations in this stretch. High temperatures are forecast to be near 80 degrees for New York City and Boston.

The cool air rushing over the warmer Great Lakes may allow some lake-enhanced showers on Thursday and even an occasional waterspout to develop. However, high pressure is expected to move into the Ohio Valley on Friday, which will bring dry conditions just in time for the weekend.

See Also:

Weather Forecasts Fall allergies will be in full force across parts of US
Weather News First tornado forecast: Scientists who dared to forecast 'act of God'
Hurricane Entire Eastern Seaboard under rip current threat due to Larry

For the latest weather news check back on AccuWeather.com. Watch AccuWeather Network on DIRECTV, DIRECTVstream, Frontier, Spectrum, fuboTV, Philo, and Verizon Fios. AccuWeatherNOW is streaming on Roku and XUMO.

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