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Severe weather risk returns to South just days after deadly tornado

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Updated Feb 18, 2021 8:41 PM EDT

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As wintry conditions gripped much of Texas on Feb. 15, a waterspout was spotted spinning over Cedar Creek Lake in the town of Malakoff.

As a storm with heavy snow and debilitating ice shifts from the south-central United States to the Northeast region, AccuWeather forecasters say there is the potential for severe thunderstorms, including the risk of isolated tornadoes, in portions of the Southeast that were pummeled by violent weather at the start of the week.

A tornado, preliminarily rated as an EF3 by National Weather Service, ripped through the area of Brunswick County in southeastern North Carolina late Monday night, killing three people and injuring at least 10 others.

Earlier Monday, an EF2 twister swept through the southwestern Georgia town of Damascus. No deaths were reported, but several people did sustain minor injuries, according to WALB.

Forecasters say the latest severe weather threat will continue into Thursday night. The storm setup before the end of this week is similar to the one that sparked nearly three dozen severe weather reports ranging from hail to high winds, including four reported tornadoes on Monday.

This mid- to late-week storm is a tad weaker than the storm that rolled through at the start of the week and may not have as much pull of warm and moist air from the Gulf of Mexico. However, it is likely still to have some pull and enough to create an unstable atmosphere that can lead to at least locally severe thunderstorms with high winds, hail and perhaps a few isolated tornadoes.

As the slightly weaker storm is expected to track a tad farther south, compared to the Monday storm, the severe weather risk may not extend as far north into eastern North Carolina this time.

"Into Thursday night, the threat of severe thunderstorms and isolated tornadoes will extend from the northern part of the Florida Peninsula to coastal Georgia and the low country of South Carolina," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said.

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A far more widespread impact with the storm in the Southeast will be rounds of heavy rain.

In some areas, downpours can be intense enough to trigger urban and small stream flooding. A general 1-3 inches of rain is forecast to fall into Friday, which is not extreme. However, a significant percentage of that rain may fall in a few hours.

Even though February is typically one of the leanest months of the year, for tornadoes, the month has averaged 29 tornadoes per year based on an average from 1991 to 2010, according to the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC). Most of these storms have occurred from Texas to Florida.

Nearly every storm system that moved across the South Central and Eastern states in recent weeks has delivered some sort of severe weather to the Southeast. Back in late-January, an EF3 tornado hit Fultondale, Alabama, leaving one dead and injuring several others.

Related:

Powerful EF3 tornado tears through NC, killing at least 3
Overnight tornado ransacks retirement community near Tampa
'Everything came crashing down': Alabama family recounts surviving EF-3 tornado
LIVE: Texas power company warns of outages for ‘several more days’
New York City braces for major snowfall as storm eyes Northeast

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier, Spectrum, Fubo, and Verizon Fios.

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