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News / Weather Forecasts

Crisp fall air to settle into Northeast after wet start to week

By Courtney Travis, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Updated Oct 6, 2021 2:53 PM EDT

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The first full weekend of October may have felt more like a second summer to many in the Northeast, but that trend didn't stretch into the new week. It was a soggy Monday across much of the region. AccuWeather forecasters say that weather more suitable for enjoying fall activities is set to return in the coming days.

Over the weekend, a storm blossomed over the Great Lakes, bringing with it a dose of heavy rain. In just two days, locations like Hancock, Michigan, and Buffalo, New York, both recorded more than 2 inches of rain. The same storm then set its sights on the northeastern U.S.

Several locations got hit with rounds of rain Monday and Monday night. Pittsfield, Massachusetts, reported over 2 inches of rain during that time, and Philadelphia International Airport recorded 2.38 inches of rain. Many communities in between from southern New England to New York and Pennsylvania saw an inch or more of rain.

On Tuesday, a few showers are forecast to linger in the region, but the rain will be less intense than the rain on Monday.

Behind the wet weather, a few dry days are in store for much of the region, which will allow people to get outside and enjoy fall festivities, like apple and pumpkin picking, leaf-peeping or even heading out to watch a ball game.

The drier air is also forecast to usher in cooler conditions, bringing temperatures closer to normal for this time in October.

Locations like Philadelphia and Washington, D.C., surged into the lower 80s on Sunday, around 10 degrees above normal for the first week of October. By Wednesday, temperatures in these areas returned back in the lower to middle 70s.

But the dry, crisp fall air is not likely to last long for some.

"The storm bringing downpours to the southeastern U.S. is forecast to shift northward for the second half of the week, bringing more wet weather to the Ohio Valley and Great Lakes. As the week progresses, some of this rain may start to sneak into the Northeast," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said.

Western New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland are most likely to face more rain by late in the day on Friday. New England will likely be spared and instead will have a more prolonged dry spell as an area of high pressure stays put over the region until the weekend

The stretch of drier weather, no matter how brief, is likely to be welcome for many in the Northeast who have experienced a wet summer and a wetter-than-normal start to fall.

New York City ended meteorological summer, which stretches from June 1 to Aug. 31, with 24.03 inches of rain, which is about 175% of normal. Then, in September, the Big Apple recorded another 10.03 inches of rain, which is more than 230% of normal for the month.

Boston recorded 19.64 inches of rain from early June to the end of August, which is 189% of normal. That wet stretch was followed up with just shy of 7.5 inches of rain in September, or 210% of normal for the month.

Other cities like Buffalo, New York; Providence, Rhode Island; Philadelphia; and Washington, D.C.; have all reported above-normal rainfall since the start of June.

AccuWeather long-range forecasters say that while more rounds of wet weather lie ahead through the rest of October, the month will be drier than September.

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Southern and western parts of the region, in particular, will be the targets of more rounds of rain, but even in these areas, the month will be drier than September, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Tyler Roys.

Roys noted that mid- to late October is likely to feature above-normal temperatures for the region as well. The rise in afternoon high temperatures is likely to take place across much of the Northeast by the end of this week, with cities like New York and Philadelphia likely to return to the upper 70s by Friday.

It is worth noting that October is quite a transitional month in the Northeast in terms of temperature, and the average high temperature usually drops off about 10 degrees from the beginning to end of the month. As such, widespread temperatures in the upper 70s are not anticipated as October progresses. Normal high temperatures for the last third of October range from the middle 50s in northern New England to the middle 60s in the mid-Atlantic.

Roys and the long-range team anticipate more waves of cool air spreading in from the Midwest to the Northeast during November. Each cool blast could also be accompanied by rounds of wet weather.

That chilly air may be a preview of what winter may bring this year. AccuWeather released its U.S. winter forecast last week, offering an in-depth look at the season ahead.

SEE ALSO:

Meteorologists eye the next possible tropical feature to impact the US
Which areas of US are in for it this winter? Here's the full forecast
Stormy weather could affect California oil spill cleanup efforts

For the latest weather news check back on AccuWeather.com. Watch AccuWeather Network on DIRECTV, DIRECTVstream, Frontier, Spectrum, fuboTV, Philo, and Verizon Fios. AccuWeatherNOW is streaming on Roku and XUMO.

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