What could the tropics have in store for the rest of October?
Tropical Storm Lorenzo took shape over the Atlantic on Monday, and another storm could join it by next week.
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With over a month left in the Atlantic and East Pacific tropical season, AccuWeather meteorologists warn that more named storms could be brewing.
"At 5 a.m. EDT on Monday, Tropical Storm Lorenzo strengthened in the main development region of the Atlantic Ocean, becoming the twelfth named storm in the Atlantic this season," said AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva.
Fortunately, Lorenzo is forecast to stay well away from land for the next several days, and no direct impacts to land are expected.
What does the future hold for the Atlantic Basin?
In addition to watching Lorenzo, AccuWeather hurricane experts are monitoring a low risk of tropical development in the central Atlantic to the Caribbean from October 19-23.
A tropical wave will move off the coast of Africa and into this zone later this week and could become more organized by the end of the weekend.
"The tropical wave might be able to sneak under a lot of the hostile winds to the North, allowing for it to develop and strengthen before reaching the Lesser Antilles early next week," DaSilva explained.
A plethora of warm waters in the southern Atlantic and lesser disruptive winds, called wind shear, all mean it is possible the wave could reach tropical storm status by the time it reaches the Caribbean islands.
The next name on the Atlantic Basin list is Melissa.
The fate of this tropical wave once it reaches the Caribbean Sea remains even less certain. The weather pattern late next week could pull the storm north towards the Bahamas and the United States. However, it could also continue moving west across the abnormally warm Caribbean.
"Residents in the Caribbean should continue to check back for updates on this tropical wave," DaSilva said.
Should the system reach the western Caribbean, there is the chance it could ramp up quickly and possibly become a hurricane.
East Pacific remains active this week
AccuWeather meteorologists are monitoring the potential for more tropical development in the East Pacific.
"A tropical wave located south of Mexico could strengthen mid- to late this week," said DaSilva.
Anything that forms is likely to move west, at least initially. However, interest in Mexico and the southwestern U.S. should monitor for any tropical impacts, including heavy rainfall and flooding.
Raymond, which moved onshore in Mexico and unleashed torrential rainfall, was the seventeenth named storm in the East Pacific Basin. The next names on the basin's 2025 list are Sonia and Tico.
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