Tropical Storm Conson moving north over open water
Tropical Storm Conson (08W) remains over mainly open water in the western Pacific. Meanwhile, we continue to monitor an area of interest west of the Marianas.
Tropical Storm Conson (08W) is located about 175 miles northeast of Minami Tori Shima. Current movement is to the north at 14 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph with gusts of 55-60 mph. A turn more to the north-northwest is expected this weekend. Conson is largely over open water. Conson is expected to maintain tropical storm status through the weekend. Guidance continues to suggest that it will affect the Kuril Islands with some heavy rain and gusty winds by later Sunday and Monday, possibly as an extra-tropical low at that point.
Invest 93W is located several hundred miles to the west-northwest of Guam. This is the area that computer guidance has indicated could develop into an organized tropical. Conditions are favorable for gradual development of this system as it drifts east over the next couple of days, before turning on a more northerly track early next week.
Longer-range computer guidance is also indicating that there may be some additional tropical development farther east early next week.