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Parched northwest India to turn stormy as monsoon finally arrives

By Maura Kelly, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Jun 22, 2020 6:49 PM EDT

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Those in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, headed outside to watch as a partial solar eclipse, known as 'Ring of Fire', occurred over the region on June 21.

Residents in northwestern India have been waiting for the arrival of the monsoon since it made its first appearance in the country during the beginning of June. After stalling over the weekend and early this week, the monsoon's leading edge is expected to reach the nation's capital by the end of the week.

The monsoon low that developed over northeastern India late last week and over the weekend had already begun to shift west early in the week. This will help to advance the leading edge of the monsoon that has been stalled over north-central India.

"The monsoon rain is forecast to finally reach Delhi and eastern Rajasthan on Thursday," stated AccuWeather Lead International Meteorologist Jason Nicholls.

As wet weather arrives in these parched locations through the rest of the week, occasional showers and thunderstorms will remain in the forecast across eastern and southern India.

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While much of India will have scattered showers and thunderstorms that can produce dangerous lightning and localized flash flooding into Friday, the heaviest rain will be found across northeastern India, Bhutan, northern Bangladesh and eastern Nepal. These areas are most likely to have mudslides that could close some roads.

Moisture from the Arabian Sea will also continue to fuel widespread downpours along the western coast of India, from southern Maharashtra to northern Kerala.

Vidhansoudha Bangalore #Bangalore #Bengaluru #Karnataka #vidhansoudha #monsoon #timesofindia #bangaloremirror #thehindu #decanherald #journalism #manzfotography pic.twitter.com/FzAMEHMWjR

— Manjunath Bhat (@ManzFotography) June 22, 2020

Showers and thunderstorms can bring daily rainfall totals of 13-50 mm (0.50-2.00 inches) across northern India through the end of the week. An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 100 mm (4 inches) is possible in slow-moving and heavy storms.

The risk of flash flooding will remain high as many of these areas have reported over 100 mm (4 inches) since the arrival of the monsoon earlier this month.

Related:

India Weather Homepage
AccuWeather’s 2020 India southwest monsoon season outlook
AccuWeather’s 2020 Asia summer forecast

In addition to flooding, thunderstorms will threaten much of the country with gusty winds and frequent lightning strikes.

Outside of a few isolated showers and thunderstorms in the mountains, far northwestern India is forecast to remain largely dry and hot through the rest of the week.

Nicholls adds, "Just because the monsoon has reached an area it does not always equate to heavy rainfall."

This isn't unusual for far northwestern India and Pakistan to stay dry until the end of June or early July. In fact, so far the monsoon has contributed to wetter than normal conditions across the entire state.

"As of June 17, India, as a whole, is running about 32 percent wetter than normal," Nicholls said.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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AccuWeather Weather Forecasts Parched northwest India to turn stormy as monsoon finally arrives
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