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Tornado danger grows in Ohio Valley as volatile storms erupt

The last time a severe weather event brought a tornado threat to the Ohio Valley was in fall 2025. A tornado watch is in place for parts of Indiana, Kentucky and Illinois into Thursday night.

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Feb 18, 2026 5:02 PM EDT | Updated Feb 20, 2026 10:48 AM EDT

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Thunderstorms pelted towns in Michigan with hail on Feb. 18 as thunder rumbled over still-melting snow.

A potent storm will spark a round of severe thunderstorms across the Midwest into Thursday night. In many parts of the Ohio Valley, the last severe weather event with a tornado risk occurred in the fall.

All modes of severe weather will be possible with the strongest storms, including high wind gusts, hail, a few tornadoes and torrential downpours that could lead to flash flooding.

A tornado watch is in place for parts of Indiana, Kentucky -- including Louisville -- and Illinois into Thursday night.

For some locations in the Ohio Valley, this week may bring the first thunderstorm of the year. A weather setup on Jan. 8-9 produced a few dozen severe weather reports across the Mississippi Valley and western New York but left parts of the Midwest without severe weather.

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Most of the severe weather into Thursday night will extend from Illinois to Indiana, central Ohio, much of Kentucky and part of West Virginia. The strongest storms are most likely around Louisville, Kentucky, and near Indianapolis.

Some thunder and lightning will likely extend farther northeast into parts of southern Michigan, northeastern Ohio and western Pennsylvania Thursday night.

While there will be enough warm air, moisture and lift in the atmosphere to support some thunderstorms in the Southeastern and mid-Atlantic states Friday, most of the storms are expected to remain below severe limits.

More to Read:

Top 5 tornado states in 2025
Wildfire season to ramp up early as drought covers over 40% of the US
Winter hanging on in Midwest, Northeast with more snow, ice inbound
Major nor’easter threat looms as snowstorm set to blanket mid-Atlantic

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