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News / Hurricane

Tropical activity to ramp up into the Fourth of July weekend

Flossie becomes the sixth tropical storm of the 2025 eastern Pacific hurricane season. Meanwhile, the tropics are heating up in the Atlantic.

By Elizabeth Danco, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Jun 28, 2025 12:30 PM EDT | Updated Jun 30, 2025 5:44 AM EDT

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The Atlantic and eastern Pacific basins will enter an active stretch into this week. AccuWeather hurricane experts warn there could be potential impacts to the southeastern United States during the holiday weekend.

Barry loses all tropical characteristics

The second named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season formed over the Bay of Campeche on Sunday. The average date for the second named storm is July 17. Tropical Storm Barry made landfall Sunday evening in Veracruz, Mexico, bringing heavy rain to portions of eastern Mexico and gusty winds to the coast. Barry lost all tropical characteristics early Monday morning and is no longer trackable, but areas of heavy rain can still occur through Monday night.

Due to flooding rain and gusty winds, Barry was a less than one on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico.

Risk for development during Fourth of July weekend

AccuWeather hurricane experts are monitoring an area along portions of the Gulf and Atlantic coast for tropical development during the holiday weekend, a common area for development early in July.

"A cold front will dive off the coast late this week, and it may act as a catalyst for development either in the eastern Gulf or off the Southeast coast," adds DaSilva. "Wind shear, which can inhibit development, is expected to be fairly low and ocean water temperatures in the Gulf are above average which can aid in development in the outlooked area."

Due to these factors, there is a low risk of tropical development in this broad region from July 4-7.

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Those heading to the beaches for the holiday weekend from northern Florida and the Alabama and Mississippi panhandles to the Carolinas are urged to monitor the forecast, as there may be rough surf and rip currents and perhaps gusty winds should a tropical depression or storm develop.

Eastern Pacific remains active

The start of the eastern Pacific tropical season has been an active one so far with six named storms and two hurricanes, including Hurricane Erick which rapidly intensified into a major hurricane before making landfall in southern Mexico on June 19.

The active stretch will continue as AccuWeather hurricane experts are tracking Tropical Storm Flossie, currently south of Mexico. Further intensification is expected and the storm is forecast to become a hurricane early week as it moves parallel to the Mexican coast.

"Flossie is the sixth named storm of the season," adds DaSilva. "The average date for the sixth named storm is Aug. 3."

While most of the wind will remain offshore, there can still be strong gusts along the southwestern coast of Mexico this week. Heavy rain is also expected to occur across southwestern Mexico which can lead to flooding and localized mudslides in the terrain. If the storm tracks closer to the coast, there can be higher rainfall amounts and wind gusts.

Flossie will also bring dangerous waves, rip currents and storm surge to the Mexican coast through this week.

Due to flooding rain, storm surge and strong winds, Tropical Storm Flossie is a 1 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Hurricanes in Mexico.

Related:

2025 hurricane names: From Andrea to Wendy
Why doesn't the South Atlantic get many tropical storms?
July 4th forecast: Will you need sunglasses or a raincoat?

Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.

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AccuWeather Hurricane Tropical activity to ramp up into the Fourth of July weekend
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