Thursday 9 a.m.
Note: Although my videos have been appearing regularly in my blog, a change in filename meant they were not appearing where many of you were used to finding them. I believe that problem has been corrected.
The first video includes the discussion for Middle and North Atlantic states. Computer model maps show there is a wide range of potential outcomes from a storm that should form along or near the East Coast at midweek. The second video focuses on the Chicago area.
In the headline, I ask if there will be a big storm next week. To show you we are still in the speculating stage, here are maps for the same time next Thursday evening from the same computer model run six hours apart. In the first picture, we use the run from 7 p.m. yesterday. For the second, we use the run from 1 this morning. Different, aren't they?
It appears that a large low pressure area will form in the Plains this weekend and then drift very slowly eastward next week. This could lead to a lot of rain over a large area. This map depicts the Euro model predicted rainfall between now at midday Saturday May 3rd.
Thunderstorms broke out in eastern New England this morning. Here is a lightning map showing strikes between 8 a.m. and 10:30 ET:
I'd like to think that my explanations of what was going on enlightened him, but we all know better! This map shows the distribution of lightning from around daybreak yesterday to the wee hours of the morning today.
Omega blocks are known for causing long periods of whatever kind of weather you had when the block was getting established. In other words, if it was rainy, you were in for more (perhaps a lot).
This satellite picture shows the storm that affected the Southeast on Saturday (1) , the frontal system that will reach the East Coast late tomorrow night (2) and a disturbance in the Pacific Northwest that may affect the Northeast at the end of the week (3) .
A deck of clouds about a half-mile overhead spread westward from the Atlantic to much of the I95 corridor from DC to Boston early this morning. These cloud decks can be a forecaster's nightmare in the spring because ...