Elliot Abrams

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  • Stormy Day in the Northeast

    November 26, 2014; 8:31 AM ET

    Along I95, rain ruled through midmorning while marshmallows of wet snow changed the gray November landscape to winter white very fast inland. I told Sam The Dog about the snow before it started in the middle of Pennsylvania. He was taking a wait-and-see attitude.

  • Northeast: Snow, Sleet, Rain to Cause Travel Trouble

    November 25, 2014; 7:44 AM ET

    The profile here is for New York City at 1 p.m. tomorrow. We see it is forecast to be just above freezing near the ground. Will big wet flakes make to the ground or will they melt into rain drops? Or will there be a mix? It's a very close call call.

  • In Store Next: Winter Rollback

    November 21, 2014; 8:12 AM ET

    Looking at next week, the GFS ensemble spaghetti plot of upper air winds shows how much agreement there is among members of the ensemble (same model running multiple times using slightly different starting assumptions). The maps are from next Tuesday, Nov. 25, and Thanksgiving Day, Nov. 27. There is good agreement on the first map, but a lot of spread two days later.

  • Great Lakes and Northeast: Milder Air Coming

    November 20, 2014; 11:13 AM ET

    The location of lake-effect snow bands is tightly controlled by geography, topography and wind. From this pressure analysis, we see why the wind favored heavy snow staying south of the hardest hit Buffalo snow belts earlier today.

  • SNOvember Storm Slams SNOwbelt

    November 18, 2014; 10:11 AM ET

    This map from one of my tweets yesterday (accuElliot) showed the wind direction most favorable for heavy lake-effect snow in and near Buffalo. Just a minute change in direction greatly affects the location of the heaviest snow, almost as if you were operating a fire hose. The snow is so deep (more than 4 feet in spots and deepening) that officials were considering the use of high lift equipment to extract vehicles.

  • Great Lakes and Northeast: More Cold Next Week

    November 14, 2014; 9:24 AM ET

    It suggests rain in the I-95 corridor and snow from the mountains of West Virginia and Pennsylvania to southwestern Maine. Other models and ensemble versions will be examined this weekend as we narrow down the uncertainties associated with this fast-moving storm. Whatever the form of precipitation, you can count on another shot of cold air behind it. Lake-effect snow will be common as well.

  • I 95 Corridor: Slippery Places Late Tonight?

    November 13, 2014; 7:16 AM ET

    I can see how slippery spots can develop from Philadelphia's northern and western suburbs on northeastward. The highest amounts of snow may be from Boston's western and northern suburbs on through Portsmouth, Portland and Augusta. Some spots could get 3-4 inches. Be ready for a slow commute tomorrow morning. If these problems develop, they could occur rather suddenly.

  • Warmth to Fold as Cold Takes Hold

    November 12, 2014; 10:03 AM ET

    Of course, once it gets cold, the question is when or if it will snow. A weak low pressure area may form along the Northeast coast tomorrow night, perhaps causing patchy rain that mixes with or changes to snow at the end. That scenario is represented by the map that follows today's video.

About This Blog

Elliot Abrams
Elliot Abrams from AccuWeather.com offers this Northeast Weather Blog for the U.S. with regular updates on NE weather from a leading forecaster and meteorologist.