Scotty the Dog will be four-months-old in four days. On walks during hot weather, he is quick to seek out shady spots. He has yet to experience any cold weather, but he looks like he will be ready when it arrives (not any time soon!).
Erika's heavy rainfall separated into two areas yesterday. This is the Morehead City, North Carolina, radar, showing an area of heavy rain and thunderstorms that dumped more 4 inches of rain on parts of the coastal Carolinas this morning.
Tropical Storm Erika could eventually affect Florida and other sections of the Gulf Coast or Southeast, but for now it poses no threat for the Northeast. This map shows the storm as of early this morning.
The second concern is Erika. The map below shows what many different models area saying. While there is a good agreement in the short range, the longer-range spread is quite larger, with tracks ...
This picture shows where Erika is. The various models show a track toward Florida with a lot of uncertainty after that. If it does make it to land, then moves slowly (steering forces look weak), it could be a major rain producer.
It is way too early to be definitive about these storms, but the many models being used in predicting the track have closer agreement than many storms have at this point.
On this satellite picture, you can see a cold front approaching the Appalachians. That front helped produce thunderstorms in the Midwest yesterday, but that activity died out overnight. It is likely to reactivate today, with...
...shows a north-south trough line over New England. Moist air will approach this line from the southeast while northerly breezes bring in dry weather west of the line. As the front stalls then slowly backs up, some moisture can spread westward later in the weekend.
A cold front advancing eastward from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley is sponsoring showers and thunderstorms from Lake Erie to West Virginia. The setup favors even more moisture getting involved, as suggested by the surface pressure map:
A day and a half later, a small ship spotted Anthony and his wife. The tiny piece of land was named Thatcher's Island in memory of the tragic loss from the Great Colonial Hurricane of 1635. The black marker on this map shows Thatcher's Island, Essex County, Massachusetts.