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Neoguri bringing heavy rain to areas still recovering from Hagibis

By Maura Kelly, AccuWeather meteorologist & Adam Douty, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Oct 19, 2019 7:23 PM EDT

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Areas of Japan that were hit hard by rounds of heavy rain last week should expect more tropical downpours with Tropical Rainstorm Neoguri passing by early this week.

Neoguri strengthened into a typhoon late in the day on Friday over the open waters of the Philippine Sea. However, it weakened to a tropical rainstorm on Monday evening, local time. The storm was known as Perla in the Philippines.

Over the weekend, the storm had turned toward the Ryukyu Islands. Areas of heavy rain and gusty winds arrived in the islands throughout the day on Sunday and Sunday night.

Rounds of heavy rain will spread northward across central and eastern Honshu into Tuesday.

Related:

AccuWeather Tropical Page
AccuWeather Asia Forecast Center
Rain, clouds to disrupt viewing in parts of Asia as Orionids reach peak early next week

The weakened state of this system means winds are expected to bring only minor impacts.

However, rainfall totals of 25 to 75 mm (1 to 3 inches) are expected across southern Japan with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 150 mm (6 inches).

AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Houk said that, "Neoguri’s heaviest rain will stay right along the coast before the last of the rain exits Honshu Tuesday afternoon."

He adds that, "More widespread amounts of 1-3 inches across Honshu, including Tokyo, will be enough to cause some flooding concerns, but nothing close to the magnitude of the disaster that occurred more than a week ago with Hagibis."

Normally, only minor impacts would be expected with these rainfall amounts, but many of these areas are still recovering from the devastating impacts from former Typhoon Hagibis, as well as another round of heavy rain last week.

As a result, this rain can worsen any ongoing flooding or cause delays in recovery efforts.

Impacts from Neoguri include flash flooding, mudslides and travel disruptions.

The saturated nature of the soil will make it easier for any gusty winds to knock over trees, which can lead to power outages and additional transportation delays.

The storm is expected to race off to the east through the latter part of the week as drier conditions arrive over Japan.

Meanwhile, Bualoi developed several hundred miles to the southeast of Guam early in the weekend. The storm strengthened into a typhoon at 7 a.m. local time on Monday. Residents of Japan should monitor this system as Bualoi may track nearby later this week.

While it is possible that the worst of the impacts from Bualoi may bypass Japan to the east, a separate area of low pressure may bring yet another round of rain.

Houk states that, "An area of non-tropical low pressure is expected to develop near Kyushu Thursday."

He continues to say, "While Bualoi may pass well to the east of Japan, the non-tropical low may deliver 3-6 inches of rain from Kyushu through Shikokou and across Honshu that can lead to an additional flood threat."

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