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Father's Day forecast: Comfortable conditions for many, spotty storms for some

By Brandon Buckingham, AccuWeather Meteorologist

Published Jun 17, 2020 10:40 AM EST

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As summer activities ramp up into full swing, Father's Day can be synonymous with outdoor activities like a trip to the lake, grilling outside, camping or maybe just some work around the house.

With any plans you may have for celebrating dads, be sure to know what kind of weather to expect. Here's a region-by-region breakdown to best plan your day.

Spotty thunderstorms to dot the Northeast

The air will have a very summery feel to it across the Northeast. Widespread temperatures in the 80s F along with the chance for showers and thunderstorms, primarily in the afternoon, are in the forecast.

This threat for wet weather will be sparked by a pesky slow-moving storm system that has plagued the mid-Atlantic and Ohio Valley with downpours in recent days.

Unfortunately the wet weather will come at a time when many people are looking to head outdoors.

While a good portion of the Northeast could face the threat for wet weather, showers and thunderstorms should remain rather scattered in nature, meaning not everyone will have to deal with adverse conditions. One area across the Northeast that could feature a higher likelihood of drier conditions will be across portions of coastal and northern New England.

A kayaker paddles by moored pleasure boats Monday, June 15, 2020, in Harpswell, Maine. The summer season in coastal Maine towns is off to a unusual start this year because of the coronavirus pandemic and restrictions on out of state tourists. Local business owners are concerned about surviving without the typical influx of visitors. (AP Photo/Robert F. Bukaty)

While cities along the Interstate-95 corridor from Washington, D.C., to New York City may face the threat of a shower or storm, places farther north like Boston and Bangor, Maine, may be able to get away with dry conditions through the day.

A majority of the Southeast and Deep South to remain dry

Portions of the Southeast have also had to deal with the pesky slow-moving storm system over the Carolinas this past week, but Mother Nature may cut some of the fathers a break this Sunday.

An area of high pressure that is expected to settle along the Gulf coast will act to suppress the typical daytime heating shower and thunderstorm activity typically seen during a summer's day across the Southeast and Deep South. As a result of the location of the high pressure, areas along the Gulf coast from the Big Bend of Florida, westward to New Orleans should experience seasonably hot and dry conditions.

Dy conditions will extend northward beyond the Gulf Coast as well. Many major southern metropolitan areas including Atlanta and Augusta, Georgia, and Montgomery, Alabama, are expected to remain dry.

One area across the Southeast that may not feature dry weather will be across the Florida Peninsula and Tennessee River Valley.

A southeasterly breeze may keep the Atlantic Coast waters a little choppy for anyone looking to take the boat out on Sunday, and that same wind flow may spark showers and thunderstorms in places like Miami, Marco Island and Fort Myers.

Storm system to drench portions of the Central US

Unfortunately for those looking to head outdoors this Sunday across portions of the Midwest, rain gear or a secondary plan of action may be needed due to the threat of wet weather. A storm system that is expected to sweep through the region is expected to spark strong-to-severe thunderstorms across Plains and Midwest during the day and into the evening hours.

Along an advancing cold front, shower and thunderstorm activity could stretch southward into the Ohio Valley and portions of the mid-South as well. While shower and thunderstorm coverage isn't expected to be widespread, it may be wise to at least plan for the possibility of wet weather popping up. These conditions could be realized in places like Indianapolis and Louisville.

Areas of showers and potentially strong thunderstorms could extend farther south into portions of the southern Plains as well. Across the Plains, the threat for wet weather will increase during the peak heating hours during the afternoon.

Jeremiah Bronson, of Ames, Iowa, plays catch with his son Ben, right, on the field at the Field of Dreams movie site, Friday, June 5, 2020, in Dyersville, Iowa. Major League Baseball is building another field a few hundred yards down a corn-lined path from the famous movie site in eastern Iowa but unlike the original, it's unclear whether teams will show up for a game this time as the league and its players struggle to agree on plans for a coronavirus-shortened season. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)

Showers in store for the northern Rockies, the remainder of the West to remain dry and warm

Yet another disturbance tracking inland from the Pacific Ocean may lead to increased cloud cover along with the chance for a stray shower across the northern Rockies. Places like Seattle and Portland, Oregon, should wind up completely dry on the holiday.

A large area of high pressure will encompass much of the Great Basin, California and the Southwest, promoting dry conditions. With wildfires ongoing across the Southwest, unchanging conditions across the region into this weekend could continue to keep that threat in place.

Many locales within the San Joaquin Valley and the Desert Southwest can expect triple-digit heat this weekend. Fresno, California; Las Vegas and Phoenix, among many other cities will likely climb past 100 degrees Fahrenheit.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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AccuWeather Weather Forecasts Father's Day forecast: Comfortable conditions for many, spotty storms for some
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