Tropics Not Dead Yet: PR, Southeast On Alert

Evening Update: Here's a radar and satellite of the system... the NHC says that a depression has still not formed due to weak circulation of the system, which they estimate to be over Puerto Rico at this time (radar loop).

Doppler precip estimates from AccuWeather.com RadarPlus showed over 8 inches of rain in the last day in the southeastern portions of Puerto Rico, with a wider area of over 4 inches of rain (shown as black below):

A statement from the NWS's San Juan office said

"NWS DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY HEAVY TO TORRENTIAL RAINFALL OCCURRING ACROSS SIGNIFICANT PORTIONS OF EAST.. SOUTHEAST... AND SOUTHEASTERN INTERIOR PUERTO RICO. THE RADAR HAS ESTIMATED RAINFALL RATES AS HIGH AS FOUR INCHES PER HOUR. MUDSLIDES HAVE BEEN REPORTED ACROSS THE WARNED AREA AND THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL LANDSLIDE IS HIGH"

ORIGINAL REPORT:

Hurricane Season isn't dead yet, folks. The NHC has issued a Special Tropical Disturbance Statement for the possibly-tropical system south of Puerto Rico, saying:

Above is the latest radar shot. It's hard to detemine if there is rotation of the system yet. You can see the zoomed in radar on AccuWeather.com and the Extended Radar (shown above) on Premium and Pro. The system will move northwestward over the next 4 days, but it's likely to have some bad interaction with some of the higher mountains in the Caribbean.

If that's not enough for you, we could have some "homegrown" development off the Southeast Coast before the above system reaches it.

At the risk of predicting a Carolina landfall that doesn't happen (again), AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO USERS READ NOW | 30-DAY FREE TRIAL) said in his blog: