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Tropical Depression Butchoy makes multiple landfalls, threatens Philippines with flooding downpours

By Maura Kelly, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Jun 8, 2020 8:43 PM EDT

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The West Pacific basin is once again heating up as a tropical low tracks across the Philippines. On Thursday afternoon, local time, the Philippines Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) named this low Tropical Depression Butchoy.

According to PAGASA, as of late Thursday afternoon local time, Butchoy had already made two landfalls in the Philippines. The first landfall occurred at 5:30 p.m., local time, over Polillo, Quezon, and the second of which occurred just 30 minutes later over Infanta, Quezon.

Satellite of Tropical Depression Butchoy on Thursday evening, local time, as the system churns across the Philippines. CIRA/RAMMB

With Butchoy tracking across the mountainous northern Philippines, significant strengthening is not expected through Friday. Despite this, it will still threaten flooding rainfall across parts of the region.

The depression is expected to produce tropical downpours across the northern Philippines through Friday.

"An increase in tropical moisture began to enhance showers and thunderstorms across eastern Visayas and Luzon starting on Wednesday," stated AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dave Houk.

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"The threat for flooding will continue across Luzon through Friday, where 100-200 mm (4-8 inches) of rain will be possible," Houk added.

Not only will this amount of rainfall threaten the region with flooding, the risk for mudslides will also increase into the weekend.

Related:

Philippines Weather Homepage
AccuWeather Tropical Headquarters
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Although the system strengthened into a tropical depression, according to PAGASA, additional strengthening into a tropical storm while across the Philippines seems unlikely due to interactions with land. As a result, damaging wind is not expected to be a significant threat.

While strengthening of this system will be halted as it tracks across the rugged terrain of the northern Philippines, forecasters will be closely monitoring the storm into the weekend as it moves back over water.

Residents wade along a flooded village caused by Typhoon Vongfong as it passed by Sorsogon province, eastern Philippines on Friday, May 15, 2020. More than 150,000 people were riding out a weakening typhoon in emergency shelters in the Philippines on Friday after a mass evacuation that was complicated and slowed by the coronavirus. (AP Photo/Melchor Hilotin)

"There is still potential for it to reach tropical storm intensity over the South China Sea during the weekend," said AccuWeather Lead International Meteorologist Jason Nicholls.

One factor that will limit strengthening will be strong wind shear that is expected to be in place across the South China Sea.

Despite this wind shear, very warm water could allow the system to strengthen as it tracks toward southeast China.

Interests along the southern shore of China, including Hong Kong and Macau, should monitor this feature for potential impacts into the beginning of next week.

As of late Thursday afternoon, local time, the Japanese Meteorological Agency has also designated this system as a tropical depression.

The next internationally recognized tropical cyclone name from the Japan Meteorological Agency is Nuri, while the name Butchoy is being used in the Philippines.

The last tropical cyclone to develop in the West Pacific basin was Typhoon Vongfong, also known as Ambo in the Philippines. The typhoon forced 50,000 people from their homes after causing devastating flooding and widespread power outages across the northern Philippines during the middle of May.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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AccuWeather Hurricane Tropical Depression Butchoy makes multiple landfalls, threatens Philippines with flooding downpours
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