, °F

Personalized Forecasts

Featured Forecast

My Favorite Forecasts

    My Recent Locations

    Jesse Ferrell

    A Record Early Hurricane Season?

    By Jesse Ferrell, Meteorologist/Community Director
    5/25/2012, 6:17:22 AM

    UPDATE 5/25/2012: Bud did briefly pull out a Cat 3 status last night, but it was at 00Z 5/25, one update (6 hours) away from tying the earliest major storm in the Eastern Pacific. He is now a Category 2 storm, expected to slowly weaken and make landfall over the next few days.


    590x603_05251516_bud_25may2012_0643_utcss

    UPDATE 5/23/2012: Although one model continues to predict that Bud will spike to a Category 3 hurricane, nearly all other models say it is destined to remain a tropical storm.


    590x369_05251242_bud525a


    ORIGINAL REPORT 5/22/2012: Tropical Storm Bud in the Eastern Pacific is predicted, at least by one model, to reach Category 3 hurricane strength by 8 p.m., or 00Z time, Thursday May 24.


    590x510_05231430_bud522fubalk


    The NHC, however, puts that probability at less than 5 percent. If it does, it will be one of only three storms in history to reach that major hurricane status in the month of May (or earlier).

    590x256_05231432_epac522a


    If he does it that early on Thursday, he'll be the earliest major storm ever for that basin (the previous record, Hurricane Adolph, turned to Category 3 at 18Z on May 24, 1983).


    590x555_05231435_adolph1983


    Tropical Storm Aletta started out the East Pacific season early, forming as a depression on May 14, but not being named until the beginning of the season at 00 "Z TIME" on May 15. And of course Tropical Storm Alberto jumped the Atlantic gun by half a month, forming on May 15.

    The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

    Comments

    Comments that don't add to the conversation may be automatically or manually removed by Facebook or AccuWeather. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

    Jesse Ferrell