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Storms, rain to shift through southeast; Travel delays as warmth fades

Downpours and strong storms will spread from the Mississippi Valley to the East Coast, bringing the risk of flash flooding and travel delays, helping to ease drought conditions and end the recent warmth.

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Nov 21, 2025 11:57 AM EST | Updated Nov 21, 2025 3:31 PM EST

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AccuWeather’s Ali Reid reported live from Newark International Airport, covering what is expected to be one of the busiest travel weeks of the Thanksgiving holiday.

The same storm responsible for severe weather and flash flooding in the south-central United States earlier this week will slide eastward into this weekend. While there are concerns about severe thunderstorms, flash flooding and early weather-related Thanksgiving travel delays, the rain will help ease drought conditions in some areas and mark the end of a warm week across the Southeast.

"A Flash Flood Emergency was issued for Menard, Texas, on Thursday after repeated rainfall totaled 9.2 inches, causing significant flooding in the town,” AccuWeather Social Media Producer Jesse Ferrell said. "Several roads were closed due to high water, and some homes took on water, but no injuries were reported."

Dallas recorded its wettest November day on record on Thursday with 3.95 inches topping 3.45 inches from 2015.

The storm system has the potential to produce severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall from Kentucky and Tennessee southward into Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama through Friday night.

The main hazards for residents and travelers will be heavy downpours that quickly reduce visibility and cause water to pool on roadways, along with strong wind gusts capable of downing tree limbs and hail large enough to damage vehicles or windows.

The storm producing the heavy rain and thunderstorms is forecast to turn eastward as it encounters drier air over the Midwest and Northeast. Rain across portions of the central Plains is expected to taper off early in the weekend.

Drenching rain will cut across the lower part of the Ohio and Tennessee valleys, the southern Appalachians and part of the mid-Atlantic from Friday night to Saturday evening.

Runners in the Philadelphia Half Marathon on Saturday morning may face rain, slick conditions and puddles. Drier air is forecast to move in later Saturday, paving the way for some sunshine for the full marathon on Sunday.

Much of the Upper Midwest, eastern Great Lakes, New England and northern Appalachians can expect a dry weekend, which will be fine for taking in football games, raking leaves, getting a jump on outdoor holiday decorations or just taking in some fresh air.

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The zone of showers and thunderstorms will settle across the Southeast on Saturday and Saturday evening.

A few thunderstorms may become locally heavy to severe with strong, gusty winds.

People attending outdoor events should remain alert for changing weather conditions that could lead to lightning.

Temperatures have challenged record highs across parts of the Southeast on several days this week. Saturday will be the final warm day for most of the Southeast, with highs in the 70s to lower 80s F, before cooler air moves in Sunday and Monday following the storm system.

Some showers may settle southward into the southern parts of Alabama and Georgia, as well as northern and central Florida during this time.

Any rainfall short of flooding will be beneficial in reducing drought and wildfire risk. The rainfall is likely to be sporadic, however.

Temperatures are expected to fall 10-15 degrees below their peak levels this week, starting later this weekend and continuing through early next week.

More to Read:

Earthquake strikes Bangladesh, leaves 7 dead
Hurricane Melissa's 252-mph wind gust sets new record
Florida cities lead list of top Thanksgiving travel destinations
Historic Thanksgiving travel surge collides with coast-to-coast storm

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