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Mild days to win out in midwestern, northeastern US this week

By Renee Duff, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Oct 4, 2020 10:48 AM EDT

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Following a chilly start to October, forecasters say mild days will win out over cool ones in the Midwest and Northeast this week.

Temperatures have averaged 4-8 degrees Fahrenheit below normal from Kansas City, Missouri, to Minneapolis, Chicago, Detroit and Pittsburgh through the first four days of October. Average highs range from the middle 60s to the lower 70s from north to south across the region in early October, but are quickly lowering by 1 degree every two to three days during the month.

An autumn snowfall was even observed across portions of the Upper Midwest, with snow whitening the ground in Michigan late last week.

As a batch of rain that spread into the Northeast on Sunday night and Monday fizzles to a few showers, drier and milder air will begin to move in from west to east.

Minneapolis will experience highs near 70 through Tuesday, following four straight days with daytime temperatures in the 50s. Chicago, Detroit and Indianapolis are likely to near the 70-degree mark by Tuesday.

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By Tuesday, much of the Northeast can expect highs in the middle to upper 60s, with lower 70s in store from Philadelphia to Washington, D.C. The 80-degree mark could be reached in Baltimore and D.C. at midweek, which is about 10 degrees above average.

The warmth towards the middle of the week will build ahead of an approaching storm system poised to dive across southeastern Canada. A swath of rain will accompany this storm as it sweeps through portions of the mid-Atlantic and New England later Wednesday.

"Behind this storm, temperatures will be around 4-8 degrees below normal," AccuWeather Long-Range Meteorologist Tyler Roys said.

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The core of the cool air with this round will target the Northeast, as opposed to the chill during the first days of October which focused on the Midwest.

Factoring in a gusty wind on Thursday, AccuWeather RealFeel® Temperatures could remain in the 40s across New England, despite actual highs climbing into the 50s. Temperatures along the Interstate-95 corridor will fall back into the 60s.

Leaf-peepers may want to get out during the first half of the week to check out the colorful foliage prior to Thursday's wind knocking vibrant leaves off the trees.

Forecasters say this chilly push should be rather fleeting.

In fact, highs are likely to trend several degrees above normal for the second weekend of October, with widespread 60s and 70s across the Midwest and Northeast and 80s across the central Plains.

The warmth will first build over the High Plains at midweek and then expand eastward late in the week and into the weekend.

"The surge of warmth with gusty winds and ongoing dryness will raise the risk of wildfires along the eastern slopes of the Rockies to portions of the Plains this week," according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.

Portions of the High Plains were experiencing severe to exceptional drought as of the latest United States Drought Monitor bulletin from last Thursday.

Meanwhile, the western United States will be in the midst of a much needed pattern change during this time -- one that will bring cooler air and the potential for soaking rainfall.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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AccuWeather Weather Forecasts Mild days to win out in midwestern, northeastern US this week
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