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Midwest, Northeast to bask in September-like warmth through weekend

By Ryan Adamson, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Nov 5, 2020 12:57 PM EDT

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As autumn leaves fall to the ground and cover up your lawn, you have to find a way to clear the yard. Here are some beneficial ways to use the leaves on the ground.

A little throwback to late summer is in store for a large portion of the U.S. over the next several days.

Following cold winds and even some snow to start the week, the Midwest and Northeast have become warmer the last few days and that trend will continue through the weekend. Forecasters say that even higher temperatures lie ahead in what will amount to a mini November heat wave, which could result in some record high temperatures to fall.

After a dip in the jet stream brought conditions more reminiscent of winter a few days ago, the jet stream has since retreated to the north. This has allowed warmer air to flow northward into the Midwest and Northeast.

A strong area of high pressure will cause the jet stream to move into Canada by Friday and the weekend, a position normally reserved for summer.

Temperatures in several big cities will be on-par with what they rise to in the waning days of summer and early fall in late September, but given the short days and low sun angle, it may not exactly feel like summer. Still, November temperature records will be in jeopardy in a few places.

Minneapolis is forecast to approach a record high on Friday with a projected high of 72 degrees, a temperature that is two degrees above what the city sees, on average, over the last few days of summer. The record high in Minneapolis is 73 degrees set in 1893. By Saturday, an even older record could be broken. The forecast high of 70 will be just shy of the record of 72 degrees set in 1874. Typically in early November, the temperature in the Twin Cities fails to even reach 50 degrees.

New York City will also close in on a record to end the week. The current record for Friday is 74 degrees, set in 2015. The forecast high on Friday is 69 degrees in the Big Apple so the old record will likely remain, but that is still a temperature more typically experienced at the end of September. New York normally settles into the upper 50s for highs during this time of year.

Chicago will be yet another city that will challenge records. The high of 72 degrees on Sunday will be close to the record of 73 degrees set in 1931 and just one degree lower than what the Windy City sees on average in the waning days of summer. On Monday, the forecast high of 74 degrees would tie the current daily record high set in 1999.

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The warm air will also be accompanied by dry conditions. In fact, it may even be hard to find a cloud at times.

This will allow residents to rake any leaves that may still be on the ground, or to just enjoy some time outdoors.

The warmth will persist and temperatures may even ratchet up by a few degrees this weekend ahead of a storm and its associated cold front that will be slicing across the West. With a dip in the jet stream in the West, the warm weather will continue in the East.

"As a slow-moving area of low pressure will bring a swath of snow to the northern Plains this weekend, a high-pressure system located in the eastern third of the country will continue to pump warmer-than-normal air into the East," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Carl Babinski.

But the late-summer summer throwback won't last long.

Early next week, the aforementioned cold front will bring an end to the unseasonable warmth in the Midwest. After a high of 61 degrees and rain on Monday, Minneapolis could see snowflakes in the air on Tuesday with temperatures failing to reach 40 degrees.

Given the strength of the high in the East, the cold front will be very slow to move eastward. It will likely take until Wednesday for the front to make it to the East Coast.

"Some showers will usher in seasonably cooler air during the second half of next week," Babinski said.

The change in the East will therefore not be as dramatic as it will be in the Midwest when the unusual warmth comes to an end.

Related:

Five ways to turn fallen leaves into free fertilizer for your garden
Risky behaviors to be wary of during pandemic this winter
Eta to recharge over warm waters, then make a run at Cuba and southern Florida

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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