Christmas Storm Model Update
AFTERNOON UPDATE: Nothing much new with the models BUT WAIT... Meteo Madness Man (PREMIUM | PRO) has a point-counterpoint video today with his thoughts against another forecaster on why the models may change their tune, check it out. Here's our latest map:
AccuWeather.com Professional's Joe Bastardi [BIO] (PRO) has some interesting thoughts:
ORIGINAL POST:
All the Forecast Models [JessePedia] are in pretty good agreement this morning about a significant snowstorm (after rain) for areas of elevation in the Northeast starting late Christmas Day and extending into the day after. Many areas surrounding that (including the major East Coast cities) may see snowflakes which melt on the ground. Almost no one will see snow falling on Christmas morning, but the storm will hold off until most major car travel (Christmas Eve & Day) is over, which is good.
Rather than talk about specific locations for what will be falling from the sky and when, I refer you to these animations from the models. NOTE: The forecast period we're looking at is at the start of the DGEX's time range and at the end of the NAM's. That's why the loops cut off at one end or the other.
As far as snow totals, these are really hard for the models to predict but it's a good way to separate falling (and melting) snow from where the ground will be white. Here's what they have to say, again, pretty much all in agreement that (Ohio and) areas of elevation up the spine of the Appalachians (these maps read like topo maps!) and into New England will see some snow accumulation by Wednesday morning. NOTE: See note about about forecast periods, which means these maps may not show the real snow totals).
*Coverage of snow only -- totals are bad due to a bug in the model.
As far as the official AccuWeather forecast, I won't cover that here because our news writers are going to be hard at work all weekend updating our Breaking Weather News Stories (PREMIUM | PRO), but snow lovers in the Midwest, Ohio Valley and Northeast (far west of I-95) will love this graphic that our artists whipped up this morning:
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