Brewing tropical cyclones off northwestern Australia
By
Jason Nicholls, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
Updated Jan 20, 2021 4:02 PM EDT
The tropics are active around Australia with Tropical Low 08U over the Timor Sea, north of Broome, and Tropical Low 10U east of the Cocos Islands.
Courtesy Australia Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Low 08U is over the open waters of the Timor Sea, north of Broome, and is expected to strengthen as it tracks toward the west-southwest over the next couple of days. There is a good chance this low becomes Tropical Cyclone Lucas or Marian around Friday, local time. It is looking more likely that this storm can strike Western Australia along Eight Mile Beach around Saturday, local time.
The storm can be a Category 1 or 2 cyclone on the BOM scale which is a tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Heavy rain and damaging wind gusts are possible along the coast of Western Australia between Port Hedland and Broome late Thursday night into Saturday, local time. Widespread rainfall of 3-6 inches (75-150 mm) is expected across these areas with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 12 inches (300 mm). Moisture from this system can eventually produce rain over southeastern Australia early next week.
To the west of Australia, a tropical low, 10U, is east of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands and is expected to strengthen gradually as it tracks westward into Thursday, local time. The storm is expected to slow on Friday, then it should turn southward around Saturday. This feature can bring enhanced rain to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands into Friday, local time. Conditions will become more conducive for the low to become a tropical cyclone over the open waters of the southern Indian Ocean Friday or this weekend, local time.
In the longer range, conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical development from the Coral Sea to around Vanuatu and Fiji this weekend and next week. These threats look to be a small threat to eastern mainland Australia, but there can be impact on New Caledonia.
For the latest on Eloise in the southwestern Indian Ocean... https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-forecasts/eloise-may-strengthen-into-a-dangerous-storm-before-second-landfall/885924
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Weather Blogs / Global weather
Brewing tropical cyclones off northwestern Australia
By Jason Nicholls, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
Updated Jan 20, 2021 4:02 PM EDT
The tropics are active around Australia with Tropical Low 08U over the Timor Sea, north of Broome, and Tropical Low 10U east of the Cocos Islands.
Courtesy Australia Bureau of Meteorology
Tropical Low 08U is over the open waters of the Timor Sea, north of Broome, and is expected to strengthen as it tracks toward the west-southwest over the next couple of days. There is a good chance this low becomes Tropical Cyclone Lucas or Marian around Friday, local time. It is looking more likely that this storm can strike Western Australia along Eight Mile Beach around Saturday, local time.
The storm can be a Category 1 or 2 cyclone on the BOM scale which is a tropical storm or Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Heavy rain and damaging wind gusts are possible along the coast of Western Australia between Port Hedland and Broome late Thursday night into Saturday, local time. Widespread rainfall of 3-6 inches (75-150 mm) is expected across these areas with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 12 inches (300 mm). Moisture from this system can eventually produce rain over southeastern Australia early next week.
To the west of Australia, a tropical low, 10U, is east of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands and is expected to strengthen gradually as it tracks westward into Thursday, local time. The storm is expected to slow on Friday, then it should turn southward around Saturday. This feature can bring enhanced rain to the Cocos (Keeling) Islands into Friday, local time. Conditions will become more conducive for the low to become a tropical cyclone over the open waters of the southern Indian Ocean Friday or this weekend, local time.
In the longer range, conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical development from the Coral Sea to around Vanuatu and Fiji this weekend and next week. These threats look to be a small threat to eastern mainland Australia, but there can be impact on New Caledonia.
For the latest on Eloise in the southwestern Indian Ocean... https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-forecasts/eloise-may-strengthen-into-a-dangerous-storm-before-second-landfall/885924
Report a Typo