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Soaking rain, potentially damaging winds to roar across Midwest and Northeast

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Jan 8, 2020 5:43 PM EDT

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Rain continued to pound down onto Little Rock, Arkansas, on Jan. 11, causing damage and flooding.

A far-reaching storm will impact much of the eastern two-thirds of the nation with an array of impacts ranging from record warmth ahead of the storm, a severe weather outbreak, a treacherous mix of snow and ice and a wind-driven rain that will drench the Midwest into portions of the Northeast this weekend.

The storm, which developed over southern Plains on Friday, is spreading northeastward through the weekend. The storm continues to draw copious amounts of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and deposited in the form of heavy rain.

Drenching downpours allowed rainwater to gather in low-lying areas and flood roadways in Ackerman, Mississippi on Saturday, Jan 11, 2020 (Photo/@shannondrpr)

"The core of the heaviest rain on Saturday and Saturday night will be from northern Mississippi to western Ohio and southern Michigan," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Courtney Travis.

Outside of this area, rounds of heavy rainfall are anticipated from the Gulf Coasts of Louisiana and the Florida panhandle into western Pennsylvania and New York.

Rain will push through the Northeast through Saturday night and into Sunday, with many locations across Pennsylvania and the Ohio Valley turning out dry for the second half of the weekend.

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Heavy rain which began on Friday across parts of Texas, Arkansas and Missouri.

Fort Smith, Arkansas reported 2.77 inches of rain through Friday night, while St. Louis International Airport reported 2.66 inches of rain.

A general 2-4 inches of rain with an AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 7 inches is anticipated from northwestern Tennessee to southern Michigan and northern Ohio into Saturday night.

Some rain will still fall on swollen secondary rivers over the South and could prolong the minor to moderate flooding that has been ongoing over the past week. In some cases, a secondary rise can occur on the rivers and bayous in Mississippi, Louisiana, Alabama and Tennessee.

The amount of rain will also have secondary rivers on the rise over the region. Some rivers in Missouri, Indiana, Illinois and the Lower Peninsula of Michigan can reach major flood stage.

As of midday on Saturday, 4 rivers in Missouri had gauges at moderate flooding level. Some of the major points along the Mississippi River could see moderate flooding later this week.

JUST IN from a viewer. There’s significant flooding along Hwy 80 in Jackson. If you are heading in this area, please take heed. You may want to take an alternate route. @WJTV pic.twitter.com/ptLzvVAyeg

— Shay O'Connor (@SHAYOCONNORWDSU) January 11, 2020

Motorists should expect hazardous conditions on the highways in the heavy rain zone due to low visibility, excess water on the roads and increased stopping distance.

Related:

Why trees topple in high winds
What you should do if you get stuck driving in floodwaters
As many as 11 states face major threat of severe weather as week progresses

On Sunday, the rain will push to the Atlantic coast from northern Florida to Maine, but for much of this swath, the rain will be in the diminishing stages compared to that of the Mississippi Valley.

The duration of the rain will be brief in nature, but it can still fall locally heavy for a couple of hours over the Piedmont, mid-Atlantic and New England.

High winds may lead to power outages, travel disruptions

Because winds near the surface and higher up in the atmosphere will generally be blowing in the same direction, strong winds from aloft will also be drawn down to ground level with stiff sustained speeds and powerful gusts expected.

While severe thunderstorms, some with tornadoes, have the potential to cause damage in the South, the strong wind gusts within the rain squalls will also have the potential to knock over trees, break large tree limbs and lead to power outages from the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes region to the coastal Northeast.

Gusts frequenting 30-50 mph are likely, with AccuWeather Local StormMax™ gusts near 85 mph. The highest gusts can occur in open areas, along the shoreline of waterways, over high bridges and over the summits of mountains as well as through gaps in the mountains.

The risk of trees toppling over will be greater where the ground is not frozen and heavy rain has saturated the soil.

The strong winds could lead to significant airline delays and can create a considerable amount of turbulence for passengers.

Strong winds will also be a concern on the cold side of the storm.

Winds blowing southwestward across the southern part of Lake Michigan produced travel delays and even lakeshore flooding in the Chicago area.

Northeasterly winds off of Lake Michigan continue to push water on-shore in the Chicago area on Saturday, leaving the golf course underwater (Photo/@EricAllixRogers)

Large waves, as high 20 feet, will continue to be generated by the wind and pound the southwestern shoreline of Lake Michigan.

On Saturday morning, 50 mph winds gusts combined with rain changing to snow caused 4.5 hour flight delays in Chicago O'Hare, according to FlightAware. Delays later escalated to more than 6 hours long, with over 950 cancellations.

HAPPENING NOW: More than 950 flights cancelled at O’Hare International Airport. Right now there is a ground stop at O’Hare for inbound flights due to ice. #weatherwatch #winterstorm #chicagoweather @cbschicago pic.twitter.com/B5cGE4oFp8

— Vi Nguyen (@ViNguyen) January 11, 2020

Such delays could continue east as the storm moves, and cascading issues could lead to delays and cancellations all across the country.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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