How US COVID-19 fatalities compare to worst flu seasons
Even though many people have been negatively impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, there are a few stories of positivity across the country.
Deaths in the United States from the novel coronavirus topped more than 62,000 Thursday, making it deadlier than any flu season since 1967, according to data compiled by Reuters.
The only deadlier flu seasons were in 1967 when about 100,000 Americans died, 1957 when 116,000 died and the Spanish flu of 1918 when 675,000 died, according to the CDC.
The United States has the world’s highest coronavirus death toll; so far more than 1,079,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19 have occurred in the U.S., with 62,603 deaths, while 127,950 people have recovered, according to the latest statistics Thursday night.
In this October 1918 photo made available by the Library of Congress, St. Louis Red Cross Motor Corps personnel wear masks as they hold stretchers next to ambulances in preparation for victims of the influenza epidemic. A century after one of history’s most catastrophic disease outbreaks, scientists are rethinking how to guard against another super-flu like the 1918 influenza that slaughtered tens of millions as it swept the globe in mere months. (Library of Congress via AP)
The comparison to the Spanish flu recalls when an infectious disease expert told AccuWeather early in March about what may lay ahead, noting the outbreak could have a historically unprecedented impact on life across the globe.
“This pathogen has all the signs of being ‘the big one,’” Dr. Bryan Lewis, a professor at the Biocomplexity Institute at the University of Virginia, told AccuWeather on March 3. “When current estimates for COVID-19 are compared to the 1918 pandemic, they are eerily similar. The outcomes will likely be different given modern medicine; however, the impact on society and its functioning is likely to be significant.”
Health care workers look on as four members of Hill Air Force Base's 388th Fighter Wing fly in formation over University of Utah Hospital Thursday, April 30, 2020, in Salt Lake City. The flyover was a "thank you" to health care workers, first responders, military members and essential personnel, as well as those who are staying home to help "flatten the curve" during the coronavirus pandemic. (AP Photo/Rick Bowmer)
The 1918 influenza pandemic, sometimes called the Spanish Flu pandemic, is the most severe pandemic in recent history. An estimated 500 million people – or one-third of the world’s population – became infected and the number of deaths was estimated to be at least 50 million worldwide with roughly 675,000 in the United States, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). The estimated population of the United States on 1 July 1918 was some 103 million, so approximately 0.6 percent of the US population died as a result of the epidemic.
As for this year’s flu season, it was historically long, but not as deadly as past seasons.
This primary source graph shows the large increase in deaths in four major world cities over a two-month period in late 1918. (Source: National Museum of Health and Medicine)
At 22 weeks, it was the longest above-baseline flu season in at least 20 years of CDC records. Last year was the previous longest at 20 weeks.
A total of 19,932 laboratory-confirmed influenza-associated hospitalizations were reported between Oct. 1, 2019, and April 18, 2020, according to the CDC. That’s the second-highest total – there were 30,453 in 2017-18 – since such figures were first kept during the 2009-10 flu season.
The CDC’s estimate of flu-related deaths this season is a broad range of 24,000 – 62,000, with final estimates to be determined in the future.
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