The only story in the West of big importance weather-wise is the impending chance of rain next week over much of California. An early season closed low will bring the chance of some rain for much of central and Southern California for at least several days next week along with temperatures well-below normal.
The ideas remain the same from my two previous posts. I am not going to rehash what I have been saying. I do want to give you a visual look at each day Monday through Thursday next week to show you the stability of the REX block. Because we cannot redistribute the European model data in graphical form, and the fact that there really is no important large-scale differences between it and the GFS, I give you the 500 mb graphics from the 12Z run of the GFS for each day.
As with any closed low where precipitation occurs, it is very hard to forecast even a day or two out. It is obvious that there is a good chance for scattered showers, and even a thundershower, somewhere around this closed low each day. It is also likely in this pattern that temperatures will stay well below normal for some time to come.
With approximately 1.6 million acres burned so far this is about 600,000 acres less than last year
Within the three-state area of Washington, Oregon and Idaho, there are 21 large fire incidents ongoing.
The water level on this massive reservoir had never been lower than what was reached on July 9.
It has been pretty hot of late in the interior Northwest but even hotter weather looks likely by Sunday and Monday.
It does not usually rain this time of year; when it does, this is usually how it happens.
This is the beginnings of the summer monsoon pattern that typically starts around the first week in July.