The only story in the West of big importance weather-wise is the impending chance of rain next week over much of California. An early season closed low will bring the chance of some rain for much of central and Southern California for at least several days next week along with temperatures well-below normal.
The ideas remain the same from my two previous posts. I am not going to rehash what I have been saying. I do want to give you a visual look at each day Monday through Thursday next week to show you the stability of the REX block. Because we cannot redistribute the European model data in graphical form, and the fact that there really is no important large-scale differences between it and the GFS, I give you the 500 mb graphics from the 12Z run of the GFS for each day.
As with any closed low where precipitation occurs, it is very hard to forecast even a day or two out. It is obvious that there is a good chance for scattered showers, and even a thundershower, somewhere around this closed low each day. It is also likely in this pattern that temperatures will stay well below normal for some time to come.
There will be more showers and thunderstorms are likely that can produce very heavy downpours in Arizona.
This rain caused problems with flash flooding producing some damage and there were a few swift water rescues.
Computer models are insistent that a rather strong piece of energy will move through California Tuesday, bringing more widespread rainfall.
This will make for a very hazardous period for firefighters into early Friday night.
With such high heat and low humidity, the fire danger will be as high as it can get.
For the second time this week, parts of northern California will get some rain.