Ken Clark

Share |

Cold Low and Showers Still on Track for California

October 04, 2012; 12:09 PM

A quick update from my post yesterday. If you missed it, click here to view the complete post.

My thoughts have changed little, and the models continue to be pretty darn close through Tuesday. Expect well-below-normal temperatures Monday and Tuesday with a shower, even a thundershower, chance spreading east and south those two days. A deep marine layer in the Los Angeles and San Diego area Tuesday could mean a little light rain and drizzle in the morning hours, then an afternoon shower.

After Tuesday, the models part ways again with the European moving the center of the low east into the southern Nevada area with a trough hanging back over Southern California. However, the GFS still has a well-developed, closed low near Pt. Conception Wednesday and a little farther south over the Los Angeles Basin on Thursday. Obviously one model would have a better chance for a shower or thundershower than the other. As I explained yesterday, we are in a REX block and things evolve very slowly in these blocks. I am leaning more toward the slower GFS because of that.

No matter which model, there is at least two days for the chance of rain and temperatures are going to well below normal.

The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

Comments

Comments left here should adhere to the AccuWeather.com Community Guidelines. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

More Western U.S. Weather Blog

  • The Big Chill Gradually Eases

    December 9, 2013; 1:29 PM ET

    Some of the coldest weather in a long time has been occurring and continued even to this morning.

  • Arctic Air to Threaten Crops

    December 3, 2013; 3:36 PM ET

    In the citrus areas from the San Joaquin Valley to northern Ventura County expect a hard freeze in most area

  • Well Thats a Fine Mess

    November 29, 2013; 8:25 AM ET

    a well established spoke of energy rotated northeast and is bringing some areas a LOT more rain than the sprinkle or light shower I predicted.

  • The Non-Storm/Colder Next Week

    November 27, 2013; 1:58 PM ET

    It looks like the Cascades of Washington will get some important snow Sunday and Monday.

About This Blog

Ken Clark
Ken Clark's Western U.S. weather blog tackles daily weather events with commentary from one of the most experienced and trusted Western U.S. weather experts.