I just wanted to add that there is the threat for damaging, straight-line winds associated with severe thunderstorms this afternoon (Tuesday), especially for areas south of the GTA, including the Niagara region and into New York and Pennsylvania. An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out either as the storms track rapidly toward the east.
Sharp typhoon re-curve taking place now supports a turn to a cooler pattern that modeling shows from the eastern prairies to Ontario and western Quebec next week.
ECMWF is consistent is showing above-normal sea surface pressures through the rest of July from the Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico which goes in line with a drier forecast for the region due to a predicted lower number of tropical storms and hurricanes.
Potential for a heat wave centered over the Pacific Northwest and into BC starting this weekend.
Here is my latest interpretation of the latest weekly long range ECMWF forecast product...
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Stormy Saturday across Ontario, Quebec and interior BC.
Potent cold front will advance from the Prairies to the East later this week.
Thunderstorms in the short range while warmth dominates in the long range.
The upcoming summer will be very warm across a majority of southern Canada with reduced rainfall.
A Colorado low brings snow, ice and strong winds to southern Manitoba.
Long-range forecast model clues into mid-June.