This is my interpretation of the Monday evening update of the ECMWF long-range forecast through the week of Sept. 2-8.
Note: Based on this latest update and other factors, it looks like atmospheric conditions will become favorable for a significant uptick in tropical cyclone activity the last week of August, especially over the Caribbean and perhaps into the Gulf of Mexico.
Back from Toronto and the snow....
Weekly long range update into the second week of May....
The seasonal updates of the ECMWF and the National Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) have been released with monthly outlooks for temperature and precipitation.
Update on the long range through early May.
A look at how extensive the cold was in March and an update into the first week of May.