New Seasonal Model Forecast for Summer and Fall

The new monthly update for the ECMWF model seasonal forecast has been released to our in-house system.

The computer model has backed off on the heat and dryness for the Prairies during the summer. With the recent cool, wet weather which has increased soil moisture I will have to closely monitor this and may have to adjust my own forecast. Stay tuned.

The ECMWF is also more robust with the coming El Nino and is predicting at least moderate strength by late summer/early fall. Earlier forecasts were anticipating a weak El Nino, which still may be the case.

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