This is my latest interpretation of the ECMWF model long-range weekly forecast that goes out into the second week of January.
The model has trended colder from eastern Canada into the eastern half of the U.S. with this particular run, but keep in mind that the bulk of the true Arctic air will remain over the Yukon Territory and into the central Prairies for the most part.
I do feel that both the shorter-range and long-range modeling has been having a hard time sorting out the overall pattern across the Northern Hemisphere as there has been a greater-than-normal amount of flipping and flopping.
Keep in mind, you can follow me on my twitter @BrettAWX. I am more than happy to interact and answer brief questions with followers when time allows.
Extended Fall weather pattern into November.
West and East coast Canadian waters remain warmer than normal.....
No significant changes in thinking in regards to Gonzalo and a look at the latest long range models.
Update on Gonzalo as it heads to Bermuda then approaches southeast Newfoundland.
Heavy rainfall for Quebec Thursday and tracking Gonzalo.
Gonzalo a potential threat to Newfoundland this weekend and an updated look at the long range.