Elliot Abrams

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Elements of a Slow Warmup

October 25, 2013; 6:10 AM ET

Friday 7 a.m.

My video shows the basis of the forecast of continued dry weather in much of the northeast third of the country

This is national chemistry week. In the weather department, of course you need to know how to face the elements whether you're traveling or staying around the family compound this weekend.

And, since it'll dry, it's great weather for going oxide. This kind of weather really gives many people a positive charge. A U! ... this is good as gold.

The formula for this kind of weather is west to east flow in the upper atmosphere and no addition of H20 from the Gulf of Mexico or Atlantic. Amines there's no new cold air coming. Sodium skies remain sunny through Tuesday.

People can go out for any outdoor activity around here while the World Series shifts to St Louis and pitchers trade bunts and burners. Today's temperature reach the 40s in northern New England and well into the 50s in the Middle Atlantic region. We can stand on that max planck until the this air boltz, man. To people worried about it getting even colder than this, this will be acetlyene influence. You can go out for a walk and maybe see your neighborhood chemist with his or her favorite kind of pet. You know: a lab.

Some people keep asking when storms could cancel their outdoor plans. With this kind of weather, nobody is raising a phosphorus. It's not the kind of weather people associate with colds or ammonia. However, we do see signs of a catalyst to cause a major change in the middle or late part of next week, and the atmosphere could be volatile enough to cause a thunderstorm. So we have quite a wait before the rain arrives, but once the rain is approaching on radar, we have a molecular wait.

In summary, across most of the Ohio Valley and Middle Atlantic regions today tomorrow and Sunday will be a real gas, but as we go into middle and last part of next week, sunshine may be among the methane. There could be rain in the big east coast cities of Boston, New York City, Philadelphia, Washington and Polymer. And now you can tell me, "Elliot, you Argon."

I was looking over the GFS model's 16-day map set, and the sequence has quite a few changes. In the longer range, there seems to be a different look with each new run. One map that got my attention was the forecast for Nov. 7:

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About This Blog

Elliot Abrams
Elliot Abrams from AccuWeather.com offers this Northeast Weather Blog for the U.S. with regular updates on NE weather from a leading forecaster and meteorologist.