Dry Weekend for Shoppers, Then a Stormy Christmas Week

Friday Morning

1. Most or all of the weekend will be dry across the Great Lakes and Northeast. However, some spotty snow, sleet and rain can affect southeastern New England tomorrow night and Sunday.

2. Rain with areas of fog should spread from Virginia to New Jersey Monday or Monday night then spread into New England for Tuesday. From the mountains of northeastern Pennsylvania into the interior of New England this could at least start as snow or ice.

3. A strengthening storm heading into the Great Lakes will cause mild, showery weather from the Carolinas to New England on Wednesday. The winds will increase as well. North and west of the storm, expect windblown snow.

4. Cold air will rush eastward from the Ohio Valley to all of the Northeast on Christmas. Bands of windblown snow will affect areas downwind from the Lakes into the northern and central Appalachians.

5. A new storm from the Gulf states may bring snow to parts of the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes and perhaps the Appalachians on next weekend but along the I-95 corridor it will "warm up and rain."

6. The GFS for 1 AM New Year's Day looks interesting. See the map below. Whether or not this storm develops and where it will snow or rain cannot be precisely predicted two weeks in advance using these models.

Here is my video forecast from this morning: