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News / Winter Weather

White Christmas watch: Which cities have snow in the forecast, and which cities are likely to miss out?

By Mark Puleo, AccuWeather staff writer

Published Dec 18, 2019 4:39 PM EDT

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As Christmas music coos, lights dazzle and singers such as Michael Bublé continue to dream of a white Christmas, AccuWeather meteorologists are looking ahead to next week’s holiday and are forecasting which lucky Americans may wake up to a snow-blanketed Christmas morning.

Forecasters say it's "possible" much of the northern half of the country and areas of the Southwest may get some snowfall, but the few places they believe are "likely" to wake up to a white Christmas are generally limited to the high-elevation locations. Also, some portions of the northern Plains, Upper Midwest and Northeast are likely to have snow on Christmas.

Christmas decorations are seen during a snowstorm in Omaha, Neb., Thursday, Dec. 24, 2015. (AP Photo/Nati Harnik)

In order to reach the qualification for an official white Christmas, a standard set by the National Weather Service, a city or town must have at least an inch of snow on the ground at some point on Christmas morning.

As of Dec. 17, a week away from Christmas Eve, a band from central Kansas to western Ohio, portions of central Pennsylvania, upstate New York, and northern New England all possess that necessary inch of snow depth in the East. Unfortunately, for many residents in those regions, that inch of snow may not last until Santa’s sleigh arrives.

650x366_11271517_historical-chance-of-a-white-christmas

“The white Christmas coverage this year will be slightly below normal, significantly below what it is now,” AccuWeather Founder and CEO Dr. Joel N. Myers said. “Boston could have a white Christmas. But southwest from there — from Providence, southern Connecticut, New York City, Washington, Philadelphia, Baltimore — the big Eastern cities, for the most part, will not have a white Christmas.”

Christmas Eve snow showers in the Northeast may seal the deal for a white Christmas for some in Pennsylvania, New York and New England, setting the stage for a snowy Christmas Eve night.

However, for areas from New York City on south, Myers said Americans living in those regions will receive nothing. The Upper Midwest also won’t receive Christmas Eve snowfall, but cold air in that part of the country will keep the already-fallen snow from melting before Rudolph and company make their way to the North Central states.

“Chicago is borderline,” Myers said. “In the Upper Midwest, the Dakotas, Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, northern Michigan and northern and central New England will have a white Christmas. There’s more snow in the Upper Midwest this year than there was last year.”

Residents who live farther south may not be as lucky. Snow from a storm early this week is likely to melt from the central Plains to the Ohio Valley before the big day arrives, according to AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Alex Sosnowski.

In the West, forecasters' confidence for snowfall in areas such as the Rockies, Cascades and Sierra Nevada remains much higher, thanks to the snow coverage those locations already have. Unfortunately, those living in lower-elevation towns hoping for a white Christmas may not see snow fall before setting out their milk and cookies. Any pre-Christmas precipitation is expected to be rain, not snow.

Workers clear snow from the ice skating rink in Rockefeller Center, Thursday, Jan. 4, 2018, in New York. A massive winter storm swept from the Carolinas to Maine on Thursday, dumping snow along the coast and bringing strong winds that will usher in possible record-breaking cold. (AP Photo/Mary Altaffer)

"A storm is likely to put down some snow over parts of the interior Southwest, mainly over the mountains in Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada just prior to or during Christmas Day," Sosnowski said. "But, cities such as Salt Lake City and Denver are likely to miss out on the snowfall."

Related:

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AccuWeather Winter Weather White Christmas watch: Which cities have snow in the forecast, and which cities are likely to miss out?
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