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Flood Watch

News / Winter Weather

Storm to drop rain, snow and ice across southern US

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Feb 25, 2022 1:36 PM EDT | Updated Feb 27, 2022 7:57 AM EDT

Copied

A cold morning in Hot Springs, Arkansas, left this person with a car covered in a solid sheet of ice.

Precipitation has been continuously pelting some areas of the South, including a recent ice storm that left parts of the region without power. But other areas have faced drier-than-normal conditions this winter and especially in recent weeks. 

Another storm is bringing even more wet weather to region this weekend, according to AccuWeather forecasters. Some of the areas that have been missed by recent storms will get in on the rain.

Late Friday night, spotty freezing drizzle began to break out from areas north and west of San Antonio and Austin, Texas, to near Dallas. The freezing drizzle continued expanding eastward into parts of Arkansas through Saturday morning.

The National Weather Service in Little Rock, Arkansas reported some accidents on the roads early Saturday morning with temperatures near freezing leading to icy conditions.

4:20 AM Update-A few wrecks have been reported from I-30 E to I-440 in Little Rock. Remember, any elevated surface has a better chance of being slick after the light rain with below freezing temperatures this morning. #arwx pic.twitter.com/GTJ10zt2Tk

— NWS Little Rock (@NWSLittleRock) February 26, 2022

Rain broke out and expanded northward over portions of Texas, Louisiana and southern Arkansas on Saturday and expanded across Tennessee, Mississippi and Alabama into Saturday night, leading to wet travel conditions.

Even though cold air will be retreating across the Central and Southeastern states this weekend, enough chilly air is likely to linger to ignite some snow and ice along the northern edge of the storm as it brews and shifts eastward over the balance of the weekend.

A bit of wet snow and sleet mixed in across portions of Arkansas, northwest Tennessee and southern Kentucky overnight Saturday. In regions where temperatures hovered near 32 degrees Fahrenheit, rain began to freeze on some untreated surfaces, bridges and overpasses.

By early Sunday morning, roughly 6,500 residents were without power across Arkansas, according to poweroutage.us.

Fortunately, the bulk of the storm’s snow and ice did not impact the parts of northern Texas and northwest Arkansas that were hit by a major ice storm from Wednesday to Thursday.

"The greatest chance for a small accumulation of snow will be over the higher elevations in the southern Appalachians from eastern Tennessee to western North Carolina and perhaps as far north as southwestern Virginia from later Saturday night to Sunday," AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brett Anderson said, adding that "it is probably going to be a bit too warm for any problems on the roads at most lower elevations in the Tennessee Valley and farther to the east in the Carolinas."

A light mix of rain and snow spread across Blacksburg, Virginia, late Saturday night into early Sunday morning. Farther to the south on Sunday, rain will fall on Atlanta and Charlotte, North Carolina. By early Sunday, a bit of sleet began to mix in with the rain near Winston-Salem and Hickory, North Carolina.

Soil conditions in the path of the storm vary widely, and that will play a role in its impacts. Soil is wet over the Tennessee Valley due to a recent onslaught of storms, but moderate drought conditions are gripping parts of Florida and the Georgia and Carolinas coasts as extreme drought exists in parts of Louisiana, southern Arkansas and eastern Texas, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

Precipitation, which generally falls as rain in Charleston, South Carolina, in the winter, has been about 50% of average since the first of the year. Since Jan. 1, Charleston has received just over 3 inches of rain, compared to an average of 6 inches. Drier-than-normal conditions developed earlier than that, as about two-thirds of the average precipitation occurred during the late autumn and December.

Farther to the west, in Lafayette, Louisiana, rainfall since Oct. 1 has averaged about 47% of normal with 11.26 inches versus the average of 23.52 inches. But, since Jan. 1, rainfall had slipped to about one-third of average, with 3.76 inches being recorded.

"The region can certainly stand a reasonable amount of rain with the spring brush fire season fast approaching," Anderson said.

Not everyone from eastern Texas to the southern Atlantic coast will get a thorough soaking, however, and rainfall in most areas is expected to be under 0.50 of an inch, with amounts of 0.50 of an inch to 1 inch expected closer to the track of the storm.

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Saturday night, showers began to spread across New Orleans and the surrounding regions. Much of the balance of the time through Fat Tuesday is expected to be free of rain as Mardi Gras activities ramp up. Temperatures will peak near 70 on Tuesday with at least partial sunshine in store for revelers taking to the streets, AccuWeather meteorologists say.

Just to the north of the dry zone, conditions have been just the opposite, with above-normal precipitation falling instead. Small streams are near bank full, and larger rivers are predicted to be on the rise this weekend. Most of the major rivers are forecast to crest at minor flood stage or below. In some cases, such as long the Duck River in middle Tennessee, water levels are forecast to surge to moderate to major flood stage in some locations into early next week.

The storm is not likely to significantly aggravate flooding problems that are occurring farther to the north over the Central states. Three drenching storms in approximately a week’s time dropped a general 3-6 inches of rain on portions of the Tennessee, Ohio and middle Mississippi valleys. Nashville, Tennessee, picked up 4.16 inches of rain from Feb. 18-24, compared to a normal during the same period of 1.17 inches. But, rain will fall and may slow the rate of recession of high waters in some small streams or potentially prolong flooding of larger rivers.

More to read:

Ice-glazed power lines sag after storm unloads freezing precipitation
New weather satellite to blast off Tuesday, will keep eye on part of US
How one man sparked an ‘evolution and revolution’ in meteorology

For the latest weather news, check back on AccuWeather.com. Watch the AccuWeather Network on DIRECTV, Frontier, Spectrum, fuboTV, Philo and Verizon Fios. AccuWeather Now is now available on your preferred streaming platform.

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