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News / Weather News

Vamco turns deadly in Philippines as Etau unleashes heavy rain in Vietnam

By Adam Douty, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Updated Nov 11, 2020 5:13 PM EDT

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Strong winds and heavy rain lashed parts of the Philippines on Nov. 11, as Typhoon Vamco, known in the area as Typhoon Ulysses, struck the country.

Vamco turns deadly in Philippines as Etau unleashes heavy rain in Vietnam - two areas that have already weathered several tropical systems in recent weeks, including typhoons.

Satellite loop from Wednesday evening, local time, as Typhoon Vamco neared landfall in eastern Luzon in the northern Philippines. RAMMB/CIRA

Typhoon Vamco (known as Ulysses in the Philippines) turned deadly on Wednesday in the northern Philippines as it neared landfall in eastern Luzon.

Vamco can briefly strengthen into the equivalent of a Category 2 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale before landfall, with maximum sustained winds of 154-177 km/h (96-110 mph). Landfall is expected in eastern Luzon on Wednesday night, local time.

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This can lead to another round of widespread damage across areas already battered by tropical systems during the past few weeks. An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ wind gust of 225 km/h (140 mph) is possible on the Polillo Islands and where Vamco makes landfall in eastern Luzon.

During the end of October and early November, Typhoon Molave and Super Typhoon Goni both tracked across the northern Philippines, leading to widespread damage and dozens of deaths.

In addition to damage threatened by intense winds, heavy rain across central and northern Luzon can produce life-threatening flash flooding. Even well away from the center of the storm, 150-300 mm (6-12 inches) of rain can produce flash flooding and mudslides in much of eastern Luzon. An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 16 inches (400 mm) is expected.

Flooding rain and locally damaging winds can also impact Manila from late Wednesday night into Thursday morning as the center of Vamco passes just to the north of the city. Wind gusts to 97 km/h (60 mph) are expected.

Due to the potential for widespread wind damage and flooding the Philippines, Vamco is a 3 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Tropical Cyclones. The RealImpact™ Scale is a 6-point scale with ratings of less than 1 and 1 to 5 that is used to classify tropical systems based on wind speed, rainfall amounts and coastal flooding, as well as economic factors.

On Wednesday evening, it was announced that flight operations would be suspended at Manila's Ninoy Aquino International Airport on Thursday morning.

MIAA suspends flight operations at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport from 12 am to 6am on November 12 due to typhoon Ulysses. Miaa general manager Ed Monreal advises affected passengers to coordinate with their airline companies for updated flight schedules. | @jiandradeINQ pic.twitter.com/o50OzSgs2y

— Inquirer (@inquirerdotnet) November 11, 2020

Conditions across Luzon will gradually improve on Thursday afternoon and Thursday night as Vamco moves into the South China Sea.

After tracking across the Philippines during the middle of the week, Vamco is expected to track to the west and bring impacts to central and northern Vietnam by the weekend, potentially bringing another round of strong winds and flooding rainfall to the hard-hit country.

People in areas from Da Nang to Vinh should monitor this storm and be ready to prepare for impacts.

Before Vamco arrives in Vietnam, Etau made landfall on Tuesday near Nha Trang, along the south-central coast of Vietnam as a tropical storm. The storm quickly lost wind intensity once inland and became a tropical rainstorm over mountainous terrain while continuing to bring flooding rainfall.

Related:

West Pacific Tropical Cyclone Center
Tropical Storm Eta slams into Florida
Southeast Asia Interactive Radar

The heavy rain from Etau led to a mudslide in central Vietnam that killed one person. At least two deaths have been attributed to the storm, according to VN Express International.

In advance of the storm, five airports were shut down as preparations were made.

Rain from Etau will continue to wind down into Thursday, though some additional flooding is expected as rain falls on already saturated ground.

Rain totals of 50-100 mm (2-4 inches) are expected to be widespread across central and southern Vietnam, southern Laos and eastern Cambodia. Higher rainfall totals on the order of 8-12 inches (200-300 mm) will mainly target the south-central coast of Vietnam and the central highlands. An AccuWeather Local StormMax™ of 18 inches (450 mm) will be most likely in these areas.

As of Wednesday afternoon, local time, Hue received nearly 200 mm (8 inches) of rain as a result of Etau.

AccuWeather Lead International Meteorologist Jason Nicholls warned, "This amount of rainfall can trigger mudslides in the rugged terrain and renew flooding across the region."

Portions of central Vietnam received 1,270-2,540 mm (50-100 inches) during October, which led to widespread and deadly flooding.

Due to the potential for widespread flooding in Vietnam, Etau is a 1 on the AccuWeather RealImpact™ Scale for Tropical Cyclones.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier and Verizon Fios.

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