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Warm weather to hold across Northeast, but not for long

By Courtney Travis, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Updated Apr 7, 2021 9:43 AM EDT

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With spring here, hikers may be excited to head to the backcountry, but as Lincoln Riddle reports, now may not be the best time to get out onto the trails.

"April showers bring May flowers" is how the proverbial saying goes, but AccuWeather meteorologists expect the weather pattern to continue to stray from normal across the Northeast early this week. Sunshine will allow temperatures to continue to throttle above normal in the coming days, but forecasters say not to get to used to the pleasant conditions as the weather could trend toward more typical April conditions later this week.

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Cooler conditions lingered across parts of New England through the middle of the week, but the rest of the Northeast experienced warmer-than-normal weather.

After peaking near 72 on Tuesday, temperatures are forecast to fall just short of that mark on Wednesday in Philadelphia, where the normal high is 60. Farther south, temperatures peaked in the 70s on Tuesday and were expected to do the same on Wednesday in Washington, D.C. For comparison, the average high in the nation's capital this time of year is 63 F.

This image, captured on Tuesday afternoon, April 6, 2021, shows a storm offshore of New England and clouds associated with a warm front over the Great Lakes. (CIRA at Colorado State/GOES-East)

Generally dry conditions are forecast to accompany the warmth on Wednesday; however, a couple of showers may spoil the sunshine.

Cities like Philadelphia and Baltimore could experience brief showers Wednesday morning, which could cause some delays in travel for a short time.

While some spotty precipitation could be in the offing early in the week, steadier precipitation is likely to engulf the region before week's end.

"A storm approaching from the west will bring some clouds and showers into the region by Friday into Saturday, which will put a dent in the warmth," Pydynowski said.

Instead of high temperatures in the middle 60s to lower 70s, temperatures by Friday afternoon will be trimmed back to the upper 50s and lower 60s. Even though the cooldown will be noticeable, temperatures at the end of the week will still be right around normal for this time of year.

The clash of differing air masses, one dry and warm and the other cool and wet, could lead to the development of some thunderstorms along with the wet weather later this week.

Showers are likely to come in waves, and many areas will face multiple rounds of rain on Thursday and Friday and perhaps again over the weekend.

The rainfall amounts are not likely to tally very high for most areas, although a few of the hardest-hit locations may pick up close to 2 inches of rain by the end of the week. Since the precipitation will be spread out over several days, rather than coming down all at once, flooding issues are likely to be restricted to low-lying and poor drainage areas.

On the other hand, rainfall may be welcome in some cities near the Great Lakes. Communities like Buffalo, New York, and Erie, Pennsylvania, back toward Toledo, Ohio, and Detroit are all experiencing moderate drought conditions, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

The slow and steady rain in these areas could wet the soil at just the right rate to prevent flooding problems as well as to help alleviate the drought conditions.

Related:

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April boasts 1st major meteor shower in months, plus these other astronomical happenings

Locations with the best chance to stay dry and mild at the end of the week will be those across New England.

An area of high pressure is forecast to set up camp in New England and hold there, despite the approaching storm across the Midwest and Ohio Valley.

Above-normal temperatures are likely to occur in cities like Hartford, Connecticut, Providence, Rhode Island, and Boston Thursday and Friday.

Eventually, clouds and wet weather will dampen New England too once high pressure loses its grip on the region, a weather change that AccuWeather forecasters say is most likely sometime over the weekend.

Keep checking back on AccuWeather.com and stay tuned to the AccuWeather Network on DirecTV, Frontier, Spectrum, FuboTV, Philo, and Verizon Fios.

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