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Oklahoma, Arkansas and Kansas to face swift flooding from heavy rain

From the Rockies to portions of the Great Plains, an area will face heavy rain and the risk of flooding in the coming days.

By Alex Sosnowski, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Aug 26, 2025 2:35 PM EDT | Updated Aug 28, 2025 11:52 AM EDT

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Torrential rain turned into flooding in Fayatteville, Arkansas. Water rescues were in progress Thursday morning.

Storms will bring disruptions to the interior West this week, while heavy rainfall and an increased risk of flooding target areas from the eastern Rockies to the Mississippi Valley, according to AccuWeather meteorologists. End-of-summer campers could be especially at risk in the Ozark Mountains.

"Clusters of thunderstorms moving across southeastern Kansas will track into northeastern Oklahoma, southwestern Missouri and northern Arkansas into Friday" AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Carl Erickson said. "Repeated downpours may result in an elevated flash flood risk."

"Very warm, humid air streaming north from the Gulf will help fuel these storms," Erickson said. "With abundant moisture in the atmosphere, any storm will be capable of producing a large amount of rain in a short period."

Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches are forecast across much of the region, with most of the rain falling in 12 to 24 hours—or less in some areas. There is a substantial stripe where 4-8 inches of rain is forecast. The AccuWeather Local StormMax™ for this event is 12 inches.

Urban flooding and travel disruptions may affect cities including Coffeyville, Kansas; Joplin, Missouri; Ponca City and Tulsa, Oklahoma; and Fayetteville and Little Rock, Arkansas.

Hilly terrain in the Ozark Mountains, in part of the rain zone, may substantially raise the flash flood threat. People camping in the region for an extended holiday heading into the Labor Day weekend should use extreme caution along small streams, which could be prone to rapidly rising water levels.

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Much of the region is experiencing abnormally dry or drought conditions, so rainfall may bring some benefits. However, excessive rainfall in a short time could overwhelm the landscape and drainage systems, increasing the risk of flooding.

While heavy rain targets the Plains and Mississippi Valley, thunderstorms and downpours are expected to continue across much of the interior West into the weekend.

In areas where rainfall is limited, lightning strikes could spark new wildfires. Some dry, gusty thunderstorms may also generate large dust clouds, creating hazards for motorists.

A large dust storm, or haboob, swept through the Phoenix, Arizona, area Monday. Over the weekend, another dust storm affected the Burning Man Festival in Nevada’s Black Rock Desert.

While the core zone of heavy rain is forecast to break up and shift heading into the extended Labor Day weekend, additional storms could still disrupt travel and outdoor plans across parts of the Rockies, Great Basin and Southeast.

More to Read:

Tropical concerns to focus close to US through Labor Day weekend
Labor Day weekend forecast: Heat, storms may disrupt holiday plans
Extreme heat drives Western wildfires

Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.

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AccuWeather Weather Forecasts Oklahoma, Arkansas and Kansas to face swift flooding from heavy rain
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