Northeast could face tropical threat next week
1. This map shows areas of clouds, fog and rain as of early this morning. A low pressure area crossing the northern Plains offers part of that area the chance for the most substantial rainfall of late summer. The storm will pull a cold front into the upper Great Lakes, but that front should stall before reaching the area from the Ohio Valley to central New England. This will maintain the warm, humid weather now getting established from there south well Into next week.
2. Jose is the storm near the southeastern corner of the map, and this is our latest assessment of the storm threat as of midmorning Friday. It was written by Dan Pydnowski:
Jose continues to be on the cusp of hurricane status and should intensify into a hurricane once again within the next 24 hours as shear across the storm lessens and it moves across warm waters. Although Jose is not a direct threat to land through the weekend, it will continue to generate rough surf, dangerous seas and rip currents along the Eastern Seaboard, Bermuda and Nova Scotia. The track has been shifted westward a bit with this update, as we are increasingly concerned that northern parts of the mid-Atlantic northward into New England and Atlantic Canada will see a period of heavy rain, strong winds and coastal flooding by the middle of next week as Jose passes by just offshore. A direct landfall cannot be ruled out either at this point. All residents and interests from the Delmarva Peninsula northward to Atlantic Canada need to monitor the progression of Jose closely. In addition, a strong onshore flow combined with higher-than-normal tides around the time of the new moon could cause coastal flooding as Jose passes by just offshore.
This map shows some computer model projections for Jose issued last night:
3. Follow the latest developments on AccuWeather.com this weekend.
Elliot Abrams' Video Blog
