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News / Severe Weather

Multiday severe weather threat forecast for central US

By Courtney Travis, AccuWeather senior meteorologist

Published Jul 4, 2023 10:58 AM EST | Updated Jul 6, 2023 4:20 AM EST

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Multiple rounds of severe weather will fire up across the central U.S. this week. The main threats will include hail, flash flooding, damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes.

After the week began on a stormy note, several more days of severe weather — including the risk of tornadoes— are in the offing for residents across the Rockies, Plains and Midwest.

Thunderstorms have been rumbling across the center of the country in early July. On Monday, there were widespread hail and damaging wind reports in Wyoming, South Dakota, Iowa and Minnesota. Tuesday followed with widespread damaging winds along a line of storms in Kansas, Nebraska and Missouri, which knocked out power to tens of thousands in the Kansas City region.

"Some of the same areas that saw severe weather on Independence Day may be the target of some thunderstorms through Thursday," said AccuWeather Meteorologist Mary Gilbert. One such place is eastern Colorado, including the city of Denver, which could be threatened by severe thunderstorms for three consecutive days.

In fact, the same storm that was producing severe weather into Tuesday night moved southeastward and produced more volatile weather into Wednesday night.

On Thursday, the risk of severe weather will continue in parts of the Plains, but this round will be caused by a new storm. As such, thunderstorms will focus on areas farther west, mainly from eastern Wyoming and extreme southwestern South Dakota through western Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma into northern Texas.

Cities from Casper, Wyoming, to Dodge City, Kansas, could be at risk for the thunderstorms on Thursday and Thursday night. Just like the thunderstorms from the previous day, the severe storms expected to flare up on Thursday will be capable of producing damaging winds and hail. There is also the potential for a few isolated tornadoes in the area into Thursday night.

Due to the risk of nocturnal tornadoes, experts say it is important to have a reliable way to be alerted if a tornado is approaching your area. Tornadoes are more difficult to see after the sun goes down, and it is important to get a warning should the weather turn severe during typical sleeping hours.

Portions of Kansas and Nebraska still have some of the worst drought conditions in the country, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor. Nearly 85 percent of Kansas is under at least moderate drought conditions. In Nebraska, almost 75 percent of the state is experiencing at least moderate drought with over 13 percent in a state of exceptional drought.

"While the strongest storms can be damaging, any rainfall will ultimately help to make a dent in the ongoing drought," said Gilbert.

The persistent drought will also heighten the risk of flash flooding. Even though the region desperately needs rain, some downpours could bring too much rain at one time for the arid ground.

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As the week comes to a close, some locations will get a break from the severe weather, but another storm system is expected to trek across the Plains and produce more thunderstorms.

A break in the wet weather is expected for parts of the northern Plains and the Upper Midwest on Thursday. On Friday, storms are currently forecast to target areas from eastern Colorado through Kansas and Oklahoma, and potentially northern Texas.

The complex of thunderstorms is likely to dive east-southeastward across these states and into Missouri. AccuWeather meteorologists say this complex could be especially potent, with potential threats ranging from damaging winds and hail to isolated tornadoes.

Thunderstorms are expected to continue unloading areas of heavy rain and strong winds over parts of the central Plains through the weekend, AccuWeather forecasters say.

The risk of severe weather will extend into a significant part of the Ohio Valley as well by Saturday.

See Also:

Drone footage shows storm chasers measuring ‘heartbeat’ of a tornado
How meteorologists conduct tornado damage surveys
Heroic storm chaser honored after extreme weather rescue

Want next-level safety, ad-free? Unlock advanced, hyperlocal severe weather alerts when you subscribe to Premium+ on the AccuWeather app. AccuWeather Alerts™ are prompted by our expert meteorologists who monitor and analyze dangerous weather risks 24/7 to keep you and your family safer.

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