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Gusty storms, heavy rain to erase milder weather in eastern US

The same storm system forecast to bring blizzard conditions to the northern Plains will create another type of hazardous weather in areas farther south while also bringing the coldest air of the season to many.

By Jake Sojda, AccuWeather meteorologist

Published Nov 8, 2021 3:11 PM EDT | Updated Nov 10, 2021 4:15 PM EDT

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Unusual warmth for the middle of November has been accompanied by tranquil weather across much of the eastern United States, but  AccuWeather forecasters say not to get too accustomed to the mild conditions. The quiet weather is the calm before a storm — one that will bring far-reaching impacts and a change to wintry conditions.

A multifaceted storm was taking shape in the nation’s midsection on Wednesday, and it will unleash snow and high winds from the northern Plains into Canada. This same storm will also pack a punch from the central and southern Plains eastward through the end of the week, all while erasing what may be the last bit of warmth for a while for many.

Drenching rain will soak parts of the northern and central Plains into Wednesday afternoon as the storm continues to develop and strengthen. South of this region, gusty thunderstorms will ignite along a strengthening cold front in Oklahoma and Texas.

As Wednesday progresses into Wednesday night, these thunderstorms will race eastward and also may expand northward as warmer and more humid air is drawn north by the storm, which will allow the storm to become more potent. The threat of gusty storms may continue farther east into Thursday as well, forecasters say.

Damaging wind gusts will be the primary threat from these thunderstorms, however there could be isolated tornadoes as well, mainly in portions of the southern Plains later Wednesday. The storms will also likely be moving very quickly. AccuWeather meteorologists are warning that residents near places like Wichita Kansas and Oklahoma City, should be on alert for rapidly deteriorating conditions late Wednesday.

On Thursday the threat for damaging winds can shift to portions of the Ohio Valley, including Louisville, Kentucky and Nashville, Tennessee.

"On Thursday a line of downpours may move across the Ohio and Tennessee Valley bringing some locally damaging wind gusts," said AccuWeather Storm Warning Meteorologist Mike Youman. "However there may be very little or no thunder and lightning, so the threatening weather could rapidly approach with little warning."

The threat of severe weather is expected to wane by Thursday night, and the primary concern along the advancing cold front will become heavy rain. Soaking rain will ruin outdoor plans during Thursday afternoon and evening in much of the Ohio Valley, Great Lakes and parts of the southern Appalachians. By Friday morning, heavy rain is expected to reach the Interstate-95 corridor and may make for a more challenging morning commute from Washington, D.C., to New York City. Rain will arrive during the afternoon and may continue for the Friday evening commute in areas closer to Boston.

The rainfall will move along at a steady pace and will last only a few hours in most locations, but it can still be heavy enough to cause some localized street and poor drainage flooding. In areas where many of the leaves have fallen, but have yet to be cleaned up, there could also be some street flooding due to leaf-clogged storm drains. Leaf covered roads and sidewalks can also turn slippery when wet.

Once the storms and rain have all moved on by the end of the week, all that will remain of the warmth that preceded it will be the memories, as plunge of polar air will sweep eastward behind the storm.

"This advancing cold front is expected to usher in the coldest air of the season thus far in the Midwest and Great Lakes," said AccuWeather Long Range Expert Paul Pastelok.

For the latest weather news check back on AccuWeather.com. Watch AccuWeather Network on DIRECTV, DIRECTVstream, Frontier, Spectrum, fuboTV, Philo, and Verizon Fios. AccuWeatherNOW is streaming on Roku and XUMO.

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