There are no organized tropical systems across the Atlantic at this time, but we are watching a few areas for potential development over the next several days.
An area of low pressure located about 150 miles north of Bermuda which has formed along a weak frontal boundary will track southeast and pass just east of Bermuda later tonight and tomorrow and then move south of those islands on Saturday and then to the west on Sunday. This projected path will bring the system over warm water and this low pressure area could acquire some tropical characteristics during the next few days. Long range computer forecasts take the center of this system just east of the North Carolina coast later next week. Residents and interests along the North Carolina coast might need to monitor this system by next week.
We continue to monitor a weak area of low pressure along a tropical wave located around 800 miles to the east of the Windward Islands. Current satellite imagery shows a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms associated with this tropical wave as it continues to track off to the west. There is a small chance this weak area of low pressure might develop further over the next 24 hours or so before it moves into an area of higher wind shear. Once this system moves within this area of strong wind shear further development will be less likely.
Elsewhere in the basin, a non-tropical area of low pressure will form over the central Atlantic this weekend. If the system moves far enough south into warmer water environmental conditions may become favorable for this system to evolve into a subtropical or tropical storm next week.
A strong tropical wave is about to emerge off the west coast of Africa. Some computer forecasts show this system attempting to organize during next week.
By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski
000 ABNT20 KNHC 210515 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 21 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located more than 700 miles southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next several days as the disturbance moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the low latitudes of the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A small but concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave is located about 650 miles east of the Windward Islands. The combination of dry mid-level air and strong upper-level winds is expected to hinder any development of this disturbance while it moves westward to west-northwestward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. A non-tropical area of low pressure located less than 100 miles northeast of Bermuda, is moving southward at 10 to 15 mph. Shower activity has diminished significantly during the past several hours, and the combination of dry air and strong upper-level winds is expected to inhibit any significant development for the next several days while the system moves southward on Friday, and then drifts westward to the southwest of Bermuda over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Another non-tropical low pressure system is forecast to develop by Friday night over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean midway between Bermuda and the Azores. Conditions are expected to be conducive for the low to acquire subtropical or tropical characteristics, and a subtropical or tropical cyclone is expected to form late this weekend or early next week while the low meanders over the central Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
A group of women, youth and community leaders rescued an abandoned school and transformed it into the second Mutual Support Center in Caguas, Puerto Rico.
The administrative disparity between the way in which FEMA traditionally assesses cases in the United States and the economic and legal reality under which the territory of Puerto Rico operates, has left thousands of American citizens in the island sin techo (without a roof).
Even though the tropical Atlantic is void of organized storms at this time, conditions may again get busy over the next couple of weeks with a few areas of potential development.
Sizzling sunshine, light winds and very warm and humid air will persist and make for uncomfortable conditions for those dealing with ongoing flooding and increasing numbers of people beginning to clean up after flooding from Florence.
AccuWeather, a global leader in digital media and weather-related big data, donated a new meteorological station to a local chapter of the American Meteorological Society in Puerto Rico, after Hurricane Maria destroyed their old equipment.
About 3.4 million chickens and turkeys and 5,500 hogs have been killed in floodwaters from Florence in North Carolina. Health and environmental concerns have been raised as flooded power plants, industrial sites, and animal-manure lagoons may leak toxic waste into drinking water.
Nearly a week after Florence’s initial landfall in the Carolinas, the worst of the flooding is still unfolding as rivers that have hit major flood stage still have not crested.
Meteorologist Ada Monzón's Facebook Live broadcasts garnered over 31 million views during Hurricane Irma and María, but her outreach to inform Puerto Rico didn't stop there.