Even though meteorological winter (December, January, February) comes to an end at midnight tonight, it sure will not feel anything like meteorological spring across most of Canada and the northern U.S. as we start March.
Projected surface temperatures early Saturday morning in degrees C from the GFS model.
Factor in a little wind, and this is how cold it will actually feel (AccuWeather RealFeel)....
There is some hope for those who have had enough of this winter. Let's take a look at Edmonton, Alberta, for instance.
Tonight we expect the low temperature to bottom out around minus 36 or 37, which is close to the record low of minus 39 (YEG) just set in 2011.
Even though the pattern looks cold for the next couple of weeks, the chances of reaching these extreme low temperatures steadily decreases as we go through the month.
Record low temperatures during the first ten days of March generally average in the 33 to 43 below zero C range, but by the last 10 days of the month the record lows range from -15 to -28 below zero.
The average high/low on March t in Edmonton is minus 2/minus 13, while the average high/low on March 31 surges all the way to +6/minus 6.
1. Storm system hammering California now will track across the southern U.S. and bring significant snow from the U.S. Midwest and East Coast. An Arctic front meeting up with this storm will likely bring some snow to southern Ontario over the weekend, but amounts will likely be 6 cm or less. However, the cold Arctic air moving over Lake Ontario could enhance some of the snow between Hamilton and St. Catharines in Ontario, leading to slightly higher amounts.
2. This same storm system will likely impact Nova Scotia Monday and Monday evening with accumulating snow. Probably not a big storm at this point with amounts 12 cm or less. Still early though and the track could change.
3. The combination of a front and weak storm could bring another round of accumulating snow to southwestern BC and Vancouver Island Sunday into Sunday evening. There is the potential for 2-8 cm of snow in the Vancouver area.
FYI....my spring outlook will be posted on Tuesday.
Strong thunderstorms for parts of Ontario Tuesday afternoon and a look at the overall weather pattern across Canada and the U.S. for this week.
My latest interpretation of the ECMWF forecast model, along with some input from other models and current data.
Some thoughts on the weather pattern into mid-July
Wildfire smoke causing significant problems across Saskatchewan.
Spring-like storm to soak parts of eastern and Atlantic Canada this weekend as the West cooks.
Heat wave for western Canada by the weekend as the East cools down a bit.