Leslie not a threat to the Maritimes

Confidence is now high based on current observations and modeling that Leslie will miss the Maritimes, but as the cold front coming in from the west interacts with Leslie on Tuesday there will likely be an increase in rain for a few hours over Nova Scotia.

Currently, Leslie is getting sheared, but that is expected top diminish over the next day or two before increasing again after that.

I looks like a second piece of energy rounding the base of a large trof will almost capture Leslie sometime Tuesday and draw the center northward for a time into southeastern Newfoundland as a minimal category 1 hurricane.

There are some models that also keep the storm center offshore as they show less phasing with the hurricane and the approaching trof.

I will continue to monitor the latest trends through the weekend and keep you posted.