Tuesday 10 a.m.
From the headline it might seem I am dismissing any possibility of snow anywhere in the Northeast. There could be snow flurries in the Adirondacks, Green and White mountains on Thursday. And some of the models hint at enough chilly air in the middle of next week to keep us curious. The idea behind the headline is a response to the question I often hear when people learn about a snowstorm somewhere else: "Are we going to get some of the snow they got?" This video should give you an idea what to expect in your area for the rest of the week.
In a word, most of the days this week will be sunny. We'll have the brightness, radiance, warmth and brilliance of sunshine each day, the illuminated coruscation and lambency dazzling us with its gleaming and sparkling luminescence, glare, glow and incandescence. It's a day for shades or you'll be in the UV. It won't just be the vivid and dazzling irradiant and beaming effulgent scintillating phosphorescent glittering sunlight that beautifies our mornings, brightens our middays and beams through the afternoons of course, but rather the dazzling irradiance that sparkles and shines, the effulgent phosphorescence that scintillates with its singeing sunshine, and the burnishing lambent beaming glare of sunshine that coruscates, dazzles and brightens, not to mention the scintillation, luminescence, glare and glow. So, in a nutshell, and some would say ... from a nut case ... there you have it: a sunny and bright beaming refulgent and radiant set of days, with each day's brilliance and sunshine followed by another day known for its brilliance, brightened by its coruscation - basically beaming bountifully and beautifully sunny. As for the weather...it looks nice (though there will be clouds around at times, and in most of the Northeast, Thursday will be cooler than today and tomorrow).
The sun is pretending to hide behind the trees.
For example, the purple line in the east marks the boundary between air coming in from the ocean and a southwesterly current of warmer air. That boundary was the scene of showers and thunderstorms when it was in the middle of Pennsylvania yesterday, and was associated with rain that moved through the Hudson Valley early this morning.
Looking ahead to late next week, some of the computer models suggest a hurricane could affect areas between the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic east of the Bahamas. We are entering the prime part of the Atlantic hurricane season, but at this point there is only one model I am prepared to accept:
The following map shows the individual members of the forecast for the 5,880-meter height line at 500mb. If the 500 mb height is that high, it usually means the weather at the ground in the Northeast is hot. However...
This pressure analysis was made using 9 a.m. ET data. The thin west-east black line is the boundary between hot and cool weather. A low pressure area is moving eastward along the boundary zone, causing showers and thunderstorms. The next low pressure area should send some of the rain farther north.
In the early to middle parts of next week, we expect to see a boundary zone separating hot, humid air to the south from cooler air to the north. A series of ripples or disturbances aloft moving west to east will take turns at enhancing or reducing the chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Looking beyond next week, we see signs of something that has been missing in the Great Lakes and Northeast just about all summer: hot weather. That may change. Here is a computer model prediction of the upper air flow on Sunday, Aug. 24. Note how the flow appears to run from Arizona all the way to north of New England.