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    Atlantic Hurricane & Tropical Storm Center

    Tropical Rainstorm Karl is located at 49.5 N, -29 W with maximum sustained winds of 60 mph, gusting to 70 mph more >

    Tropical Storm Roslyn is located at 17.2 N, -118.4 W with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph, gusting to 65 mph more >

    Tropical Depression 19 is located at 11.6 N, -140.4 W with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph, gusting to 45 mph more >

    Watching for development in eastern Caribbean

    9/26/2016 4:37:37 PM

    A tropical wave currently located about 950 miles east of the Windward Islands is moving steadily westward. On satellite pictures, this system appears somewhat better organized today. There is a good chance this feature develops into a tropical system during the middle of this week. It is expected to track westward and affect the Windward Islands Wednesday into Thursday. Most of the computer modeling shows this becoming a strong tropical system over the Caribbean toward the end of next week. AccuWeather.com meteorologists will closely monitor this feature over the coming days.

    Karl has transitioned to a powerful post-tropical cyclone over the North Atlantic. Karl is moving quickly to the northeast. It is about 1,000 miles west of London, England. It is becoming absorbed in a larger area of low pressure crossing the north Atlantic. The combined storm will track just north of the U.K. Tuesday and Tuesday night. It could bring locally damaging winds to the northern U.K. The highest threat for damaging winds will be across northern Scotland, where gusts to 60 mph can occur.

    By AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Brian Wimer

    2016 Atlantic Storms

    Alex Bonnie Colin Danielle Earl Fiona
    Gaston Hermine Ian Julia Karl Lisa
    Matthew Nicole Otto Paula Richard Shary
    Tobias Virginie Walter

    Atlantic Basin Maps

    National Hurricane Center Outlook

    NHC Atlantic Activity
    
    675 
    ABNT20 KNHC 262323
    TWOAT 
    
    TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    800 PM EDT MON SEP 26 2016
    
    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
    
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
    pressure located about 700 miles east-southeast of the Windward
    Islands are gradually becoming better organized.  Environmental
    conditions remain conducive for development, and a tropical
    depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the
    system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph.
    Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean Sea, including the
    northern coast of South America, should monitor the progress of this
    system.  Regardless of development, heavy rains and strong gusty
    winds, possibly to tropical storm force, are expected to spread over
    the Windward Islands and portions of the southern Lesser Antilles
    beginning late Tuesday or Wednesday. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter
    aircraft is scheduled to investigate this disturbance on Tuesday
    afternoon.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
    
    Some shower activity continues in association with the remnants of
    Lisa, located about 600 miles southwest of the Azores.  This system
    is expected to merge with a cold front on Tuesday before
    regeneration into a tropical cyclone can occur.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
    
    Widespread cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southwestern Gulf
    of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure that is
    drifting westward.  Upper-level winds are not expected to be
    conducive for significant development before this system moves
    inland over northeastern Mexico during the next day or so.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
    * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
    
    $$
    Forecaster Pasch