The 2009-2010 Winter Forecast

THE EAST GETS THE COLD AND SNOWY WEATHER THIS YEAR... FLORIDA COULD BE SEVERE WEATHER ATTACK ZONE... WEST STAYS DRY WHICH MEANS BAD NEWS FOR WATER AND FIRES...

Discussion:
I am not riding the wave of a major El Niño across the country. The SOI values this summer have been bouncing around neutral. so one could argue either way that we are in a weak El Niño or in neutral. With that said, I based my winter forecast around the idea that we will stay around the weak to neutral El Niño through the winter months. So what does that mean? It means to me that the focus of the winter will be in the eastern part of the country where the cold and snowy weather will be centered. The storm track, which I think is starting to show it's self now will be one where storms will cross the country, riding along the extreme cold that will be across the Great Lakes. I do like the idea that a few storms will end up bombing out along the coast and it's not out of the question that the major cities along the I-95 corridor north of Richmond get a true blizzard.

The storm track that I am showing also is one that can produce severe weather across the Gulf coast states into Florida. I am concerned that the bulk of the severe weather is centered over Florida. I seen patterns like this before that have produce very bad tornado outbreaks across Florida and that is certainly one of my biggest concerns.

The West I think will remain on the dry side. I do not see the typical El Niño type of pattern that brings big storms into California. I do see a few rainstorms but for the most part, rainfall will remain below normal as shown on the map.

The coldest weather and perhaps some of the coldest weather in a long time will be centered over the Great Lakes, Ohio valley and parts of the Northeast. I can see a spell of temperatures near 0 for highs that last an extended period of time.

Report a Typo