, °F

Radar & Maps

News & Video

Extreme Weather

Social

Personalized Forecasts

A.M. Planner

Home & Garden

Sports & Recreation

Health

Miscellaneous

Featured Forecast

My Favorite Forecasts

    New York, NY

    Local Weather

    My Recent Locations

    Rip Current Statement ...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK REMAINS IN EFFECT ...

    Global weather

    Is a new Super Typhoon brewing the west Pacific?

    By Eric Leister, AccuWeather senior meteorologist
    9/06/2018, 12:15:55 PM

    Share this article:

    The short answer is maybe, but regardless of whether a developing area of showers and thunderstorms to the east of Guam ever becomes a super typhoon, it will pose serious risks parts of the basin over the next 7-14 days.

    Taiwan 9/6

    The above image, based on the 0Z, showers a powerful typhoon bearing down on Taiwan next weekend

    Taiwan 6Z 9/6

    The above image also showers a powerful typhoon bearing down on Taiwan next weekend based on the 6Z GFS.


    The scary consistency of the images above does not give me a good feeling for the people of Taiwan.

    In the short term there will be no impacts to land and development is not expected until Saturday or Sunday; however, this blooming tropical threat could become a dangerous typhoon by the time it approaches Guam early next week.

    While Guam is not expected to see the worst that this potential storm has to offer, it could endure locally damaging winds and flooding.

    After passing Guam the storm will track toward the Philippines and Taiwan, crossing through an area of open ocean with warm waters and relatively low wind shear.

    This zone is what I refer to as "Super Typhoon Alley", as I have seen numerous storms track through these areas and go through a period of rapid intensification, often resulting in the storm achieving super typhoon status with sustained winds equal to or greater than 130 knots (150 mph).

    I would not be surprised at all to this happen once again with this budding cyclone.

    The eventual track would likely take it somewhere between the northern Philippines and the Ryukyu Islands with potential impacts also looming for China.

    I don't see a trough strong enough to hook the storm northward at this time; however, the Korean Peninsula and Japan should remain on alert, especially considering both have dealt with significant flooding in recent weeks.

    The views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily those of AccuWeather, Inc. or AccuWeather.com

    Comments

    Comments that don't add to the conversation may be automatically or manually removed by Facebook or AccuWeather. Profanity, personal attacks, and spam will not be tolerated.

    Global weather

    More Weather Blogs

    ABOUT THIS BLOG

    International Weather

    Global weather

    The AccuWeather global weather blog, written by Eric Leister, covers weather stories from around the world, with a focus on threatening weather events and also interesting weather phenomenon.