Long Range Update into Early October

A couple of points...

1. Pattern turns warm and drier again for BC next week while cool weather dominates across northeast Canada with more rain chances for Newfoundland.

2. Latest information suggests that the Atlantic basin will see near- or slightly below-normal hurricane activity over the next two weeks. It also appears that the best chance for a landfalling tropical cyclone in the U.S. over the next two weeks will be along the western or central Gulf Coast, with a low chance along the U.S. East Coast.

3. The pattern will briefly change between the 12th-14th that would allow a tropical system to be drawn northward along the East Coast and perhaps into Atlantic Canada, but at this point there are no indications that there will be any significant storms in the western Atlantic.

Here is my latest breakdown of the projected temperature and precipitation departures from normal into the first week of October.....