This is my latest interpretation of the updated weekly ECMWF model output.....
The model has once again trended back to a cooler regime across central and eastern Canada for much of the month, while the far West is projected to stay warmer than normal, which is likely due in part to the warmer-than-normal waters of the northeastern Pacific.
Long-range precipitation anomaly forecasts typically have a low skill rate, especially during the warm months when precipitation can be highly variable over a very short distance due to the more convective (showers/thunderstorms as opposed to large rain areas) nature of the precipitation.
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Significant snow is likely for parts of New Brunswick this weekend.
Cold air expected to spill into eastern North America in about 10 to 14 days.
Arctic air likely to retreat well to the north as we go into early December.
Active weather pattern through next week.
My weekly update on the short- and long-range patterns.