Mild in the Northeast

Last week became very cold in the Northeast, but now it's mild. Does this mean that winter is about over? Does this mean it'll never really snow this winter along the Northeast coast? The answers: it's way too early to know. The upper-air pattern now consists of a southwesterly flow from the Southwestern states to New England. This is likely to persist most of the week. Even next week and the week after, the flow loft may be similar. However, there are some indications a new trough will appear in northeast Canada and slip southward. This would set up a split flow regime that could include storms from the south and cold air from the north for the Northeastern states. That could indeed be a snow pattern, but it could mean a storm tracks across the South and cold, dry air in the Northeast instead. That means if you don't like cold weather or snow, it is a bit too early to rejoice…but if you like snowstorms and chilly weather, it is too early to cry.

The following maps includes the morning surface analysis, a graphic showing the basic trends for midweek and the forecast video that shows the weather may behave from today until next weekend.